City of CaseyPopulation forecast
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Cranbourne North (New)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Cranbourne North (New) will increase by an average of 119 dwellings per annum to 5,596 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Casey. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Sierra Estate
  • Cranbourne North Stage 1 Development (Eve Estate)
  • 2S Paxford Dr
  • The Avenue At Casey & Arbourlea Estates
  • 1435 Thompsons Road
  • Tullalian Estate
  • 695 Berwick-Cranbourne Rd
  • Cranbourne North Stage 1 Future Development
  • Casey Central Town Centre
  • 470 Narre Warren Road
  • No infill assumed
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 5,596 2040 Total dwellings: 5,596 2039 Total dwellings: 5,596 2038 Total dwellings: 5,596 2037 Total dwellings: 5,596 2036 Total dwellings: 5,596 2035 Total dwellings: 5,596 2034 Total dwellings: 5,596 2033 Total dwellings: 5,596 2032 Total dwellings: 5,596 2031 Total dwellings: 5,596 2030 Total dwellings: 5,596 2029 Total dwellings: 5,596 2028 Total dwellings: 5,596 2027 Total dwellings: 5,563 2026 Total dwellings: 5,488 2025 Total dwellings: 5,363 2024 Total dwellings: 5,238 2023 Total dwellings: 5,088 2022 Total dwellings: 4,913 2021 Total dwellings: 4,738 2020 Total dwellings: 4,513 2019 Total dwellings: 4,138 2018 Total dwellings: 3,688 2017 Total dwellings: 3,146 2041 Total dwellings: 5,596 2040 Total dwellings: 5,596 2039 Total dwellings: 5,596 2038 Total dwellings: 5,596 2037 Total dwellings: 5,596 2036 Total dwellings: 5,596 2035 Total dwellings: 5,596 2034 Total dwellings: 5,596 2033 Total dwellings: 5,596 2032 Total dwellings: 5,596 2031 Total dwellings: 5,596 2030 Total dwellings: 5,596 2029 Total dwellings: 5,596 2028 Total dwellings: 5,596 2027 Total dwellings: 5,563 2026 Total dwellings: 5,488 2025 Total dwellings: 5,363 2024 Total dwellings: 5,238 2023 Total dwellings: 5,088 2022 Total dwellings: 4,913 2021 Total dwellings: 4,738 2020 Total dwellings: 4,513 2019 Total dwellings: 4,138 2018 Total dwellings: 3,688 2017 Total dwellings: 3,146 2041 Forecast development: 0 2040 Forecast development: 0 2039 Forecast development: 0 2038 Forecast development: 0 2037 Forecast development: 0 2036 Forecast development: 0 2035 Forecast development: 0 2034 Forecast development: 0 2033 Forecast development: 0 2032 Forecast development: 0 2031 Forecast development: 0 2030 Forecast development: 0 2029 Forecast development: 0 2028 Forecast development: 33 2027 Forecast development: 75 2026 Forecast development: 125 2025 Forecast development: 125 2024 Forecast development: 150 2023 Forecast development: 175 2022 Forecast development: 175 2021 Forecast development: 225 2020 Forecast development: 375 2019 Forecast development: 450 2018 Forecast development: 542 2017 Forecast development: 528
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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