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Cranbourne East (New)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Cranbourne East (New) will increase by an average of 245 dwellings per annum to 7,707 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Casey. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Selandra Rise Estate South (West)
  • Mayfield Estate
  • 1345 Ballarto Road Subdivision
  • Livingston & Pakhurst Estates
  • Park Edge Estate
  • Livingston Estate
  • Bel Air Estate, Stages 3 - 6
  • Croskell PSP - Mixed Use
  • Blue Hills Rise Retirement Village
  • Casey Fields South Psp 1057
  • Croskell PSP - Residential
  • One Village Estate
  • Collison Estate
  • Future Long Term Residential
  • Future Greenfield Site - Long Term
  • Future Potential
  • Small sites - 6 dwellings
  • No infill assumed
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 7,707 2040 Total dwellings: 7,707 2039 Total dwellings: 7,707 2038 Total dwellings: 7,707 2037 Total dwellings: 7,707 2036 Total dwellings: 7,707 2035 Total dwellings: 7,707 2034 Total dwellings: 7,682 2033 Total dwellings: 7,582 2032 Total dwellings: 7,432 2031 Total dwellings: 7,232 2030 Total dwellings: 6,882 2029 Total dwellings: 6,532 2028 Total dwellings: 6,182 2027 Total dwellings: 5,832 2026 Total dwellings: 5,482 2025 Total dwellings: 5,157 2024 Total dwellings: 4,832 2023 Total dwellings: 4,507 2022 Total dwellings: 4,182 2021 Total dwellings: 3,857 2020 Total dwellings: 3,657 2019 Total dwellings: 3,382 2018 Total dwellings: 2,907 2017 Total dwellings: 2,232 2041 Total dwellings: 7,707 2040 Total dwellings: 7,707 2039 Total dwellings: 7,707 2038 Total dwellings: 7,707 2037 Total dwellings: 7,707 2036 Total dwellings: 7,707 2035 Total dwellings: 7,707 2034 Total dwellings: 7,682 2033 Total dwellings: 7,582 2032 Total dwellings: 7,432 2031 Total dwellings: 7,232 2030 Total dwellings: 6,882 2029 Total dwellings: 6,532 2028 Total dwellings: 6,182 2027 Total dwellings: 5,832 2026 Total dwellings: 5,482 2025 Total dwellings: 5,157 2024 Total dwellings: 4,832 2023 Total dwellings: 4,507 2022 Total dwellings: 4,182 2021 Total dwellings: 3,857 2020 Total dwellings: 3,657 2019 Total dwellings: 3,382 2018 Total dwellings: 2,907 2017 Total dwellings: 2,232 2041 Forecast development: 0 2040 Forecast development: 0 2039 Forecast development: 0 2038 Forecast development: 0 2037 Forecast development: 0 2036 Forecast development: 0 2035 Forecast development: 25 2034 Forecast development: 100 2033 Forecast development: 150 2032 Forecast development: 200 2031 Forecast development: 350 2030 Forecast development: 350 2029 Forecast development: 350 2028 Forecast development: 350 2027 Forecast development: 350 2026 Forecast development: 325 2025 Forecast development: 325 2024 Forecast development: 325 2023 Forecast development: 325 2022 Forecast development: 325 2021 Forecast development: 200 2020 Forecast development: 275 2019 Forecast development: 475 2018 Forecast development: 675 2017 Forecast development: 643
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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