City of CaseyPopulation forecast
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Berwick (South)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Berwick (South) will increase by an average of 203 dwellings per annum to 13,095 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Casey. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • 67S Moondarra Drive Townhouses
  • Gera Waters Estate
  • 102 Golf Links Road
  • Orchard Rise Estate (Subdivided)
  • Bernly Gardens Estate - Highvale Cres Area
  • Bernly Gardens Estate (Future)
  • Berwick remnant greenfield (Ridgemont Dr)
  • 102S Golf Links Road
  • Llano At Berwick
  • Alira At Berwick Estate
  • Minta Farm
  • 75 Moondarra Drive Dwellings
  • Future Potential
  • Berwick Long Term
  • Future Potential
  • Balmaceda Court
  • Berwick RGZ
  • Berwick -RGZ
  • Small sites - 19 dwellings
  • No infill assumed
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 13,095 2040 Total dwellings: 13,035 2039 Total dwellings: 12,985 2038 Total dwellings: 12,935 2037 Total dwellings: 12,935 2036 Total dwellings: 12,935 2035 Total dwellings: 12,935 2034 Total dwellings: 12,882 2033 Total dwellings: 12,782 2032 Total dwellings: 12,657 2031 Total dwellings: 12,492 2030 Total dwellings: 12,281 2029 Total dwellings: 12,040 2028 Total dwellings: 11,760 2027 Total dwellings: 11,400 2026 Total dwellings: 11,000 2025 Total dwellings: 10,590 2024 Total dwellings: 10,160 2023 Total dwellings: 9,730 2022 Total dwellings: 9,360 2021 Total dwellings: 9,010 2020 Total dwellings: 8,696 2019 Total dwellings: 8,464 2018 Total dwellings: 8,330 2017 Total dwellings: 8,164 2041 Total dwellings: 13,095 2040 Total dwellings: 13,035 2039 Total dwellings: 12,985 2038 Total dwellings: 12,935 2037 Total dwellings: 12,935 2036 Total dwellings: 12,935 2035 Total dwellings: 12,935 2034 Total dwellings: 12,882 2033 Total dwellings: 12,782 2032 Total dwellings: 12,657 2031 Total dwellings: 12,492 2030 Total dwellings: 12,281 2029 Total dwellings: 12,040 2028 Total dwellings: 11,760 2027 Total dwellings: 11,400 2026 Total dwellings: 11,000 2025 Total dwellings: 10,590 2024 Total dwellings: 10,160 2023 Total dwellings: 9,730 2022 Total dwellings: 9,360 2021 Total dwellings: 9,010 2020 Total dwellings: 8,696 2019 Total dwellings: 8,464 2018 Total dwellings: 8,330 2017 Total dwellings: 8,164 2041 Forecast development: 60 2040 Forecast development: 50 2039 Forecast development: 50 2038 Forecast development: 0 2037 Forecast development: 0 2036 Forecast development: 0 2035 Forecast development: 53 2034 Forecast development: 100 2033 Forecast development: 125 2032 Forecast development: 165 2031 Forecast development: 211 2030 Forecast development: 241 2029 Forecast development: 280 2028 Forecast development: 360 2027 Forecast development: 400 2026 Forecast development: 410 2025 Forecast development: 430 2024 Forecast development: 430 2023 Forecast development: 370 2022 Forecast development: 350 2021 Forecast development: 314 2020 Forecast development: 232 2019 Forecast development: 134 2018 Forecast development: 166 2017 Forecast development: 146
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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