City of CaseyPopulation forecast
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Casey Growth Area

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Casey Growth Area will increase by an average of 2,773 dwellings per annum to 81,233 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Casey. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Settlers Run
  • Botanic Ridge PSP
  • Acacia Botanic Ridge Estate
  • Summer Hill Estate
  • Botanic Ridge (future)
  • Clyde South PSP 1056
  • Casey Fields South PSP 1057
  • Devon Meadows PSP 1058
  • Berwick Waters Estate
  • The Boulevard Estate
  • Bloom Estate
  • Circa Berwick Estate
  • Thompson Run Estate
  • Clyde North PSP- High Density Residential
  • Clyde North PSP - Medium Density Residential
  • Clyde North PSP - Conventional Residential
  • Selandra Rise Retirement Village
  • 16S Vantage Ave
  • Highgrove Estate
  • Ramlegh Estate
  • Cranbourne East PSP
  • Selandra Rise Estate South (East)
  • 375 & 385 Berwick-Cranbourne Road Subdivision
  • Clydevale Estate (Azure Precinct)
  • Mackillop Way Subdivision
  • Clyde Creek PSP - 82 Hardys Road Future Development
  • Clyde Creek PSP - Conventional
  • Thompsons Road PSP
  • Pasadena Estate
  • Belmond On Clyde Estate
  • Eliston Estate
  • Hartleigh Estate
  • Clyde Creek PSP - Medium-Density
  • Clyde Creek PSP - Conventional
  • Mcpherson PSP - Medium Density
  • Mcpherson PSP - Conventional
  • Clyde Creek PSP - Conventional
  • Future Greenfield Development
  • 1425 Ballarto Road (Future)
  • Croskell PSP - Residential
  • Clydevale
  • Clydevale
  • St Germain Estate
  • Meridian Clyde North - Low-Density Residential
  • Meridian Clyde North
  • Thompsons Road PSP
  • St Germain Estate
  • St Germain Retirement Village
  • Selandra Rise Estate
  • Mayfield Estate
  • 1345 Ballarto Road Subdivision
  • Livingston Estate
  • Pakhurst Estates
  • Park Edge Estate
  • Bel Air Estate
  • Blue Hills Rise Retirement Village
  • Casey Fields South PSP 1057
  • Croskell PSP - Residential
  • One Village Estate
  • Collison Estate
  • Sierra Estate
  • Cranbourne North Stage 1 Development (Eve Estate)
  • 2S Paxford Dr
  • The Avenue At Casey & Arbourlea Estates
  • 1435 Thompsons Road
  • Tullalian Estate
  • 695 Berwick-Cranbourne Rd
  • Casey Central Town Centre
  • 470 Narre Warren Road
  • Duo At Evans Park Estate
  • 660 Hall Road - Subdivided
  • Casiana Grove Estate
  • Quarters Estate
  • 660 Hall Road - Unsubdivided
  • Clarinda Park Estate
  • 950 Dandenong-Hastings Road (Cranbourne West Psp)
  • Lochaven Estate
  • Brompton Estate
  • Ava Terraces
  • Future Long Term Residential
  • Future Potential
  • Small sites - 24 dwellings
  • No infill assumed
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 81,233 2040 Total dwellings: 79,348 2039 Total dwellings: 77,318 2038 Total dwellings: 75,154 2037 Total dwellings: 72,909 2036 Total dwellings: 70,559 2035 Total dwellings: 68,154 2034 Total dwellings: 65,664 2033 Total dwellings: 63,122 2032 Total dwellings: 60,412 2031 Total dwellings: 57,642 2030 Total dwellings: 54,872 2029 Total dwellings: 52,066 2028 Total dwellings: 49,221 2027 Total dwellings: 46,419 2026 Total dwellings: 43,626 2025 Total dwellings: 40,871 2024 Total dwellings: 38,229 2023 Total dwellings: 35,664 2022 Total dwellings: 33,138 2021 Total dwellings: 30,567 2020 Total dwellings: 27,513 2019 Total dwellings: 24,004 2018 Total dwellings: 20,160 2017 Total dwellings: 15,940 2041 Total dwellings: 81,233 2040 Total dwellings: 79,348 2039 Total dwellings: 77,318 2038 Total dwellings: 75,154 2037 Total dwellings: 72,909 2036 Total dwellings: 70,559 2035 Total dwellings: 68,154 2034 Total dwellings: 65,664 2033 Total dwellings: 63,122 2032 Total dwellings: 60,412 2031 Total dwellings: 57,642 2030 Total dwellings: 54,872 2029 Total dwellings: 52,066 2028 Total dwellings: 49,221 2027 Total dwellings: 46,419 2026 Total dwellings: 43,626 2025 Total dwellings: 40,871 2024 Total dwellings: 38,229 2023 Total dwellings: 35,664 2022 Total dwellings: 33,138 2021 Total dwellings: 30,567 2020 Total dwellings: 27,513 2019 Total dwellings: 24,004 2018 Total dwellings: 20,160 2017 Total dwellings: 15,940 2041 Forecast development: 1,885 2040 Forecast development: 2,030 2039 Forecast development: 2,164 2038 Forecast development: 2,245 2037 Forecast development: 2,350 2036 Forecast development: 2,405 2035 Forecast development: 2,490 2034 Forecast development: 2,542 2033 Forecast development: 2,710 2032 Forecast development: 2,770 2031 Forecast development: 2,770 2030 Forecast development: 2,806 2029 Forecast development: 2,845 2028 Forecast development: 2,802 2027 Forecast development: 2,793 2026 Forecast development: 2,755 2025 Forecast development: 2,642 2024 Forecast development: 2,565 2023 Forecast development: 2,526 2022 Forecast development: 2,571 2021 Forecast development: 3,054 2020 Forecast development: 3,509 2019 Forecast development: 3,844 2018 Forecast development: 4,220 2017 Forecast development: 4,022
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
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