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City of CaseyPopulation forecast

Narre Warren

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Narre Warren is forecast to grow from 9,561 in 2016 to 11,079 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 2.97 to 2.86 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Narre Warren. The period 2016 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Narre WarrenForecast year
Summary201620212026203120362041
Population27,97828,52930,62731,33131,37631,483
Change in population (5yrs)--5512,09870544107
Average annual change--0.39%1.43%0.46%0.03%0.07%
Households9,3409,68210,48410,82210,94411,068
Average household size2.972.922.892.862.832.81
Population in non private dwellings195237277332362362
Dwellings9,5619,91110,73211,07911,20411,329
Dwelling occupancy rate97.6997.6997.6997.6897.6897.70
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Narre Warren was estimated to be 27,978 people. It is expected to increase by over 3,353 people to 31,331 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 0.76%. This is based on an increase of over 1,482 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.97 to 2.86 by 2031.

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