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Endeavour Hills

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Endeavour Hills indicate a 6.4% increase in population under working age, a 60.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.9% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Casey is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Endeavour Hills - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,6316.41,5656.11,5576.0-74
5 to 91,6046.31,7526.81,7016.5+97
10 to 141,5005.91,7206.71,6856.5+185
15 to 191,5966.21,5396.01,6046.1+8
20 to 241,9397.61,4225.51,5105.8-429
25 to 291,9197.51,3375.21,3975.4-522
30 to 341,8207.11,4715.71,4605.6-360
35 to 391,6406.41,7786.91,6476.3+7
40 to 441,6376.41,9437.51,7996.9+162
45 to 491,5316.01,8197.01,8367.0+305
50 to 541,7576.91,5456.01,7796.8+22
55 to 591,9627.71,3765.31,6296.2-333
60 to 641,7336.81,2224.71,3265.1-407
65 to 691,3335.21,3345.21,1674.5-166
70 to 747813.11,4235.51,0404.0+259
75 to 795162.01,2054.71,0654.1+549
80 to 843571.48263.21,0454.0+688
85 and over3251.35242.08383.2+513
Total persons25,581100.025,801100.026,084100.0+503

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 838 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 1,045 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 1,065 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 1,040 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 1,167 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 1,326 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 1,629 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,779 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,836 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,799 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,647 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 1,460 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 1,397 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,510 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 1,604 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 1,685 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 1,701 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,557 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 524 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 826 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 1,205 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 1,423 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 1,334 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 1,222 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 1,376 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 1,545 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 1,819 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 1,943 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 1,778 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 1,471 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 1,337 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 1,422 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 1,539 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 1,720 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 1,752 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 1,565 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 325 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 357 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 516 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 781 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,333 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1,733 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,962 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,757 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,531 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,637 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,640 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,820 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,919 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,939 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,596 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,500 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,604 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,631
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 315 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 220 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: -140 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: -383 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: -166 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 103 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 253 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 234 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 17 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: -144 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: -132 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: -11 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 60 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 88 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 65 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: -34 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: -51 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: -9 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 199 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 469 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 689 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 642 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 1 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: -511 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: -586 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: -212 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 288 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 306 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 138 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: -349 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: -582 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: -517 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: -57 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 220 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 148 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: -66
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Endeavour Hills was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 689 and account for 4.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 1,943 persons.

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