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City of CaseyPopulation forecast

Clyde (Pattersons to Ballarto)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Clyde (Pattersons to Ballarto) indicate a 947.6% increase in population under working age, a 992.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 745.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Clyde (Pattersons to Ballarto) is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Clyde (Pattersons to Ballarto) - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 424811.82,04510.83,1609.8+2,912
5 to 91567.41,8619.83,0979.6+2,941
10 to 141115.31,4897.82,6738.3+2,561
15 to 19854.11,0955.82,0736.4+1,988
20 to 241497.11,2816.71,9376.0+1,788
25 to 2931815.21,89810.02,6418.2+2,323
30 to 3430214.42,12811.23,23110.0+2,929
35 to 391738.31,8769.93,1219.7+2,948
40 to 441346.41,4797.82,6098.1+2,475
45 to 49944.51,0565.62,0556.4+1,961
50 to 54924.47674.01,5844.9+1,491
55 to 59763.65643.01,1773.6+1,101
60 to 64633.04252.28762.7+813
65 to 69341.63191.76492.0+615
70 to 74241.12391.34861.5+462
75 to 79221.11881.03761.2+354
80 to 8490.41150.62550.8+246
85 and over40.21550.82730.8+270
Total persons2,094100.018,979100.032,273100.0+30,180
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Clyde (Pattersons to Ballarto) was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 15.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 1,826 and account for 11.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 2,128 persons.

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