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City of CaseyPopulation forecast

Devon Meadows

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Devon Meadows indicate a 854.4% increase in population under working age, a 105.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 590.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Casey is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Devon Meadows - Total persons202120362046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4271.798210.31,3429.0+1,315
5 to 91006.46927.21,3339.0+1,233
10 to 14996.44835.11,1147.5+1,015
15 to 19865.64244.48265.6+740
20 to 24976.38508.97294.9+632
25 to 29543.51,29613.61,0106.8+957
30 to 34624.01,19212.51,4269.6+1,364
35 to 39815.27758.11,57110.6+1,490
40 to 441076.95926.21,3048.8+1,197
45 to 491147.44584.89596.4+845
50 to 5415510.04414.67745.2+619
55 to 591087.03773.96464.3+538
60 to 641016.52582.75463.7+445
65 to 691026.62202.34252.9+323
70 to 741248.01681.83222.2+198
75 to 79956.11551.62601.7+165
80 to 84261.71071.11721.2+146
85 and over110.7850.91140.8+103
Total persons1,548100.09,555100.014,873100.0+13,325
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), October 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Devon Meadows was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 10.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 1,242 and account for 13.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2036 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,296 persons.

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