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City of CaseyPopulation forecast

Berwick (North) – Beaconsfield

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Berwick (North) – Beaconsfield indicate a 47.6% increase in females under working age, a 28.5% increase in females of retirement age, and a 35.8% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Casey is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Berwick (North) – Beaconsfield - Total females202120362046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45724.69585.79595.3+387
5 to 97025.71,0005.91,0305.7+328
10 to 147225.89895.91,0695.9+348
15 to 197345.99175.41,0405.7+306
20 to 246705.48915.39345.1+264
25 to 296235.09035.48894.9+266
30 to 346425.21,0436.21,0205.6+377
35 to 397756.21,1967.11,1876.5+412
40 to 447866.31,2167.21,2496.9+463
45 to 498386.81,1516.81,2536.9+415
50 to 549167.41,0566.31,2006.6+284
55 to 598396.89695.71,1106.1+271
60 to 647345.99215.51,0175.6+284
65 to 696675.48955.39385.2+272
70 to 746205.08535.19345.1+314
75 to 795714.67554.59014.9+330
80 to 844603.75683.47143.9+254
85 and over5354.35963.57514.1+216
Total persons12,405100.016,878100.018,197100.0+5,792
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), October 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Berwick (North) – Beaconsfield was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 7.4% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 430 and account for 7.2% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2036 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 1,216 females.

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