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City of CaseyPopulation forecast

Endeavour Hills

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Endeavour Hills is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2031 to 2036.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Casey depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • In-migration expected to be highest among young adults (20-24 year-olds)
  • Net-positive in-migration of young families with their associated children (0-4 year-olds) - Endeavour Hills offers a large range of larger houses, being more attractive to multi-child families
  • Loss of established families (5-14 and 40-54 year-olds) moving to second and third homes in neighbouring suburbs
  • Loss of pre-retirees and those of retirement age, most likely to independent retirement living and aged care centres

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