Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
Skip to content

Rural (South and East) Subregion

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Rural (South and East) Subregion will increase by an average of 146 dwellings per annum to 8,957 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Cardinia Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 8,957 2040 Total dwellings: 8,875 2039 Total dwellings: 8,783 2038 Total dwellings: 8,686 2037 Total dwellings: 8,571 2036 Total dwellings: 8,449 2035 Total dwellings: 8,324 2034 Total dwellings: 8,198 2033 Total dwellings: 8,066 2032 Total dwellings: 7,930 2031 Total dwellings: 7,795 2030 Total dwellings: 7,663 2029 Total dwellings: 7,533 2028 Total dwellings: 7,396 2027 Total dwellings: 7,254 2026 Total dwellings: 7,104 2025 Total dwellings: 6,940 2024 Total dwellings: 6,779 2023 Total dwellings: 6,596 2022 Total dwellings: 6,402 2021 Total dwellings: 6,195 2020 Total dwellings: 5,981 2019 Total dwellings: 5,791 2018 Total dwellings: 5,619 2017 Total dwellings: 5,466 2041 Total dwellings: 8,957 2040 Total dwellings: 8,875 2039 Total dwellings: 8,783 2038 Total dwellings: 8,686 2037 Total dwellings: 8,571 2036 Total dwellings: 8,449 2035 Total dwellings: 8,324 2034 Total dwellings: 8,198 2033 Total dwellings: 8,066 2032 Total dwellings: 7,930 2031 Total dwellings: 7,795 2030 Total dwellings: 7,663 2029 Total dwellings: 7,533 2028 Total dwellings: 7,396 2027 Total dwellings: 7,254 2026 Total dwellings: 7,104 2025 Total dwellings: 6,940 2024 Total dwellings: 6,779 2023 Total dwellings: 6,596 2022 Total dwellings: 6,402 2021 Total dwellings: 6,195 2020 Total dwellings: 5,981 2019 Total dwellings: 5,791 2018 Total dwellings: 5,619 2017 Total dwellings: 5,466 2041 Forecast development: 82 2040 Forecast development: 92 2039 Forecast development: 97 2038 Forecast development: 115 2037 Forecast development: 122 2036 Forecast development: 125 2035 Forecast development: 126 2034 Forecast development: 132 2033 Forecast development: 136 2032 Forecast development: 135 2031 Forecast development: 132 2030 Forecast development: 130 2029 Forecast development: 137 2028 Forecast development: 142 2027 Forecast development: 150 2026 Forecast development: 164 2025 Forecast development: 161 2024 Forecast development: 183 2023 Forecast development: 194 2022 Forecast development: 207 2021 Forecast development: 214 2020 Forecast development: 190 2019 Forecast development: 172 2018 Forecast development: 153 2017 Forecast development: 147
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2019.
v19.10.16-1.0.0