Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Northern Rural

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Northern Rural will increase by an average of 10 dwellings per annum to 1,548 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Cardinia Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Residential development forecasts assume:

  • Average growth of 9 dwellings per annum from 2017-2041
  • Development includes low levels of infill only (11 dwellings per annum) assumed

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 1,548 2040 Total dwellings: 1,539 2039 Total dwellings: 1,530 2038 Total dwellings: 1,521 2037 Total dwellings: 1,512 2036 Total dwellings: 1,503 2035 Total dwellings: 1,494 2034 Total dwellings: 1,485 2033 Total dwellings: 1,476 2032 Total dwellings: 1,467 2031 Total dwellings: 1,458 2030 Total dwellings: 1,449 2029 Total dwellings: 1,440 2028 Total dwellings: 1,431 2027 Total dwellings: 1,422 2026 Total dwellings: 1,413 2025 Total dwellings: 1,404 2024 Total dwellings: 1,395 2023 Total dwellings: 1,386 2022 Total dwellings: 1,377 2021 Total dwellings: 1,366 2020 Total dwellings: 1,355 2019 Total dwellings: 1,343 2018 Total dwellings: 1,331 2017 Total dwellings: 1,317 2041 Total dwellings: 1,548 2040 Total dwellings: 1,539 2039 Total dwellings: 1,530 2038 Total dwellings: 1,521 2037 Total dwellings: 1,512 2036 Total dwellings: 1,503 2035 Total dwellings: 1,494 2034 Total dwellings: 1,485 2033 Total dwellings: 1,476 2032 Total dwellings: 1,467 2031 Total dwellings: 1,458 2030 Total dwellings: 1,449 2029 Total dwellings: 1,440 2028 Total dwellings: 1,431 2027 Total dwellings: 1,422 2026 Total dwellings: 1,413 2025 Total dwellings: 1,404 2024 Total dwellings: 1,395 2023 Total dwellings: 1,386 2022 Total dwellings: 1,377 2021 Total dwellings: 1,366 2020 Total dwellings: 1,355 2019 Total dwellings: 1,343 2018 Total dwellings: 1,331 2017 Total dwellings: 1,317 2041 Forecast development: 9 2040 Forecast development: 9 2039 Forecast development: 9 2038 Forecast development: 9 2037 Forecast development: 9 2036 Forecast development: 9 2035 Forecast development: 9 2034 Forecast development: 9 2033 Forecast development: 9 2032 Forecast development: 9 2031 Forecast development: 9 2030 Forecast development: 9 2029 Forecast development: 9 2028 Forecast development: 9 2027 Forecast development: 9 2026 Forecast development: 9 2025 Forecast development: 9 2024 Forecast development: 9 2023 Forecast development: 9 2022 Forecast development: 11 2021 Forecast development: 11 2020 Forecast development: 12 2019 Forecast development: 12 2018 Forecast development: 14 2017 Forecast development: 10
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2019.
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