Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Garfield

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Garfield will increase by an average of 25 dwellings per annum to 1,292 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Cardinia Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Premier Lane, 37 Jefferson Road - 14 dwellings (2017)
  • Jemima Court, 43 Jefferson Road - 17 dwellings (2017-2021)
  • Sovereign Views Estate - 66 dwellings (2018-2026)
  • 14 Barker Road - 24 dwellings (2019-2025)
  • 27 Archer Road - 12 dwellings (2020-2022)
  • Future urban development - 45 dwellings (2030-2041)
  • Small sites - 9 dwellings
  • Moderate level of township or urban infill (15 dwellings per annum)
  • Low level of rural infill (2 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 1,292 2040 Total dwellings: 1,271 2039 Total dwellings: 1,250 2038 Total dwellings: 1,229 2037 Total dwellings: 1,208 2036 Total dwellings: 1,187 2035 Total dwellings: 1,166 2034 Total dwellings: 1,145 2033 Total dwellings: 1,124 2032 Total dwellings: 1,103 2031 Total dwellings: 1,082 2030 Total dwellings: 1,062 2029 Total dwellings: 1,043 2028 Total dwellings: 1,026 2027 Total dwellings: 1,009 2026 Total dwellings: 992 2025 Total dwellings: 973 2024 Total dwellings: 950 2023 Total dwellings: 926 2022 Total dwellings: 898 2021 Total dwellings: 868 2020 Total dwellings: 834 2019 Total dwellings: 787 2018 Total dwellings: 751 2017 Total dwellings: 712 2041 Total dwellings: 1,292 2040 Total dwellings: 1,271 2039 Total dwellings: 1,250 2038 Total dwellings: 1,229 2037 Total dwellings: 1,208 2036 Total dwellings: 1,187 2035 Total dwellings: 1,166 2034 Total dwellings: 1,145 2033 Total dwellings: 1,124 2032 Total dwellings: 1,103 2031 Total dwellings: 1,082 2030 Total dwellings: 1,062 2029 Total dwellings: 1,043 2028 Total dwellings: 1,026 2027 Total dwellings: 1,009 2026 Total dwellings: 992 2025 Total dwellings: 973 2024 Total dwellings: 950 2023 Total dwellings: 926 2022 Total dwellings: 898 2021 Total dwellings: 868 2020 Total dwellings: 834 2019 Total dwellings: 787 2018 Total dwellings: 751 2017 Total dwellings: 712 2041 Forecast development: 21 2040 Forecast development: 21 2039 Forecast development: 21 2038 Forecast development: 21 2037 Forecast development: 21 2036 Forecast development: 21 2035 Forecast development: 21 2034 Forecast development: 21 2033 Forecast development: 21 2032 Forecast development: 21 2031 Forecast development: 20 2030 Forecast development: 19 2029 Forecast development: 17 2028 Forecast development: 17 2027 Forecast development: 17 2026 Forecast development: 19 2025 Forecast development: 23 2024 Forecast development: 24 2023 Forecast development: 28 2022 Forecast development: 30 2021 Forecast development: 34 2020 Forecast development: 47 2019 Forecast development: 36 2018 Forecast development: 39 2017 Forecast development: 33
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
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