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Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast

Pakenham North West

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Pakenham North West is forecast to grow from 4,498 in 2016 to 5,631 in 2041, with the average household size remaining stable from 2.68 to 2.60 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Pakenham North West. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Pakenham North WestForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--1,2951,371418-114-118
Average annual change--2.12%2.02%0.57%-0.15%-0.16%
Average household size2.682.712.712.672.632.60
Population in non private dwellings110172208252306306
Dwelling occupancy rate96.4096.4897.0097.5197.4897.50
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Pakenham North West was estimated to be 11,723 people. It is expected to increase by over 3,084 people to 14,807 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 2.36%. This is based on an increase of over 1,106 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable from 2.68 to 2.67 by 2026.

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