Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Pakenham East Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Pakenham East Precinct indicate a 1980.0% increase in population under working age, a 433.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1315.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cardinia Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Pakenham East Precinct - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 444.516411.92,00710.7+2,002
5 to 988.313810.01,89910.1+1,891
10 to 1488.51148.21,6969.0+1,688
15 to 1976.9856.11,4767.8+1,469
20 to 2476.814210.31,3397.1+1,332
25 to 2944.419213.81,4307.6+1,426
30 to 3465.817212.41,6278.6+1,621
35 to 3955.41097.81,6448.7+1,638
40 to 4466.2634.61,5318.1+1,525
45 to 4988.5493.51,1406.1+1,132
50 to 5477.4342.57934.2+786
55 to 5977.5312.35923.1+585
60 to 6477.5292.14832.6+476
65 to 6966.0211.54162.2+410
70 to 7422.0171.33281.7+326
75 to 7922.4130.92221.2+220
80 to 8410.970.51360.7+135
85 and over11.160.4810.4+80
Total persons99100.01,387100.018,841100.0+18,742

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 81 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 136 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 222 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 328 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 416 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 483 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 592 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 793 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,140 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,531 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,644 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 1,627 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 1,430 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,339 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 1,476 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 1,696 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 1,899 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 2,007 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 7 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 34 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 49 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 172 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 192 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 142 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 85 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 114 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 138 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 164 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 2 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 2 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 6 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 7 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 7 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 7 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 8 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 6 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 5 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 6 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 4 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 7 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 7 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 8 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 8 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 4
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 75 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 129 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 209 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 311 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 395 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 454 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 561 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 759 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 1,091 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 1,467 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 1,535 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 1,455 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 1,239 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 1,196 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 1,391 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 1,582 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 1,761 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 1,842 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 5 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 15 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 15 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 22 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 27 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 103 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 166 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 187 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 136 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 78 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 130 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 160
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Pakenham East Precinct was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 187 and account for 13.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 192 persons.

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