Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Nar Nar Goon - Tynong area

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Nar Nar Goon - Tynong area indicate a 64.3% increase in population under working age, a 52.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 16.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cardinia Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Nar Nar Goon - Tynong area - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4805.31427.31446.6+64
5 to 91036.81628.31697.7+66
10 to 14946.21517.71747.9+80
15 to 191197.91246.31526.9+33
20 to 241479.8774.01095.0-37
25 to 29815.4774.0833.8+2
30 to 34593.91145.91064.8+47
35 to 39624.11527.81527.0+91
40 to 44734.91547.91697.7+95
45 to 491348.91346.91758.0+41
50 to 541258.31206.21647.5+39
55 to 591469.81437.31456.6-1
60 to 641026.81296.61195.4+17
65 to 69885.81226.21074.9+19
70 to 74332.2673.4894.1+56
75 to 79151.0502.6673.1+53
80 to 84211.4150.8411.9+20
85 and over211.4180.9261.2+5
Total persons1,502100.01,951100.02,191100.0+689

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 26 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 41 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 67 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 89 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 107 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 119 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 145 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 164 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 175 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 169 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 152 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 106 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 83 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 109 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 152 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 174 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 169 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 144 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 15 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 50 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 67 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 122 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 129 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 143 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 120 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 134 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 154 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 152 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 114 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 77 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 77 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 124 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 151 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 162 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 142 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 21 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 21 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 15 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 33 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 88 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 102 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 146 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 125 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 134 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 73 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 62 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 59 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 81 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 147 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 119 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 94 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 103 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 80
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 8 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 26 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 17 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 22 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: -15 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: -10 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 44 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 41 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 15 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 0 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -9 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 6 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 32 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 28 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 23 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 6 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: -6 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 36 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 34 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 34 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 27 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 0 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 80 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -69 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 5 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 60 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 62
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Nar Nar Goon - Tynong area was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 9.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 90 and account for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 162 persons.

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