Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Emerald - Clematis - Avonsleigh - Menzies Creek

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Emerald - Clematis - Avonsleigh - Menzies Creek indicate a 4.3% increase in population under working age, a 29.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.4% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cardinia Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Emerald - Clematis - Avonsleigh - Menzies Creek - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44135.84335.84295.6+17
5 to 94406.24536.14555.9+15
10 to 144416.24636.24766.2+35
15 to 195047.14536.14666.1-38
20 to 243935.53564.83734.9-20
25 to 293615.13584.83444.5-18
30 to 343655.13875.23815.0+16
35 to 394115.84576.24585.9+47
40 to 445277.45167.05326.9+5
45 to 495678.05377.25677.4+1
50 to 545537.85547.55647.3+11
55 to 595367.55357.25377.0+1
60 to 644926.94896.64906.4-2
65 to 694396.24235.74325.6-7
70 to 743164.43715.03935.1+77
75 to 791612.33154.23314.3+170
80 to 841081.52082.82683.5+159
85 and over881.21191.61972.6+109
Total persons7,116100.07,426100.07,693100.0+577

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 197 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 268 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 331 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 393 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 432 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 490 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 537 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 564 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 567 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 532 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 458 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 381 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 344 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 373 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 466 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 476 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 455 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 429 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 119 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 208 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 315 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 371 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 423 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 489 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 535 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 554 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 537 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 516 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 457 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 387 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 358 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 356 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 453 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 463 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 453 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 433 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 88 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 108 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 161 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 316 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 439 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 492 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 536 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 553 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 567 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 527 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 411 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 365 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 361 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 393 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 504 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 441 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 440 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 413
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 77 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 60 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 16 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 21 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 10 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 9 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 30 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 16 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -6 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: -14 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 17 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 13 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 14 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 3 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: -4 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 99 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 154 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -17 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -3 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -1 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -30 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -11 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 46 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 22 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -3 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -37 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -51 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 20
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Emerald - Clematis - Avonsleigh - Menzies Creek was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 154 and account for 4.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 50 to 54 years, with a total of 554 persons.

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