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Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast

Cardinia Road Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Cardinia Road Precinct indicate a 13.4% increase in males under working age, a 29.9% increase in males of retirement age, and a 11.8% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cardinia Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cardinia Road Precinct - Total males202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,24410.41,39410.31,1728.4-72
5 to 91,19310.01,2579.31,1248.1-70
10 to 148527.11,0787.99967.2+144
15 to 197456.28055.98936.4+148
20 to 247526.38045.98215.9+70
25 to 299628.09897.38746.3-89
30 to 341,25910.51,2269.09927.1-267
35 to 391,35011.31,3229.71,0407.5-309
40 to 449257.71,1998.89676.9+42
45 to 497686.49256.89506.8+182
50 to 545184.37425.59226.6+404
55 to 594403.75113.88926.4+453
60 to 642572.13932.97005.0+443
65 to 692932.42772.05784.1+285
70 to 741841.52762.03922.8+208
75 to 791381.21671.22962.1+159
80 to 84580.51170.91751.3+117
85 and over350.3830.61411.0+106
Total persons11,972100.013,568100.013,925100.0+1,953
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Cardinia Road Precinct was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 11.3% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 274 and account for 8.8% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 1,394 males.

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