Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Cardinia Road Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Cardinia Road Precinct indicate a 71.0% increase in population under working age, a 119.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 54.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cardinia Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cardinia Road Precinct - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,03111.52,7899.82,3678.0+336
5 to 91,5028.52,8359.92,4548.3+952
10 to 141,1836.72,4398.52,3427.9+1,159
15 to 191,0976.21,7396.12,0657.0+968
20 to 241,2036.81,5595.51,7235.8+520
25 to 291,6879.62,0067.01,7666.0+79
30 to 342,04911.62,5558.92,0607.0+11
35 to 391,5528.82,7339.62,2157.5+664
40 to 441,2727.22,3598.22,1217.2+850
45 to 491,0305.91,7396.11,9886.7+958
50 to 547814.41,4725.11,8766.4+1,095
55 to 596523.71,1804.11,6795.7+1,026
60 to 645273.09353.31,3374.5+810
65 to 694422.57502.61,1093.8+667
70 to 743031.75902.18883.0+585
75 to 791340.84531.66982.4+563
80 to 84890.52761.05031.7+413
85 and over560.31830.63331.1+277
Total persons17,590100.028,591100.029,524100.0+11,934

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 333 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 503 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 698 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 888 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 1,109 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 1,337 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 1,679 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,876 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,988 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 2,121 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 2,215 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 2,060 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 1,766 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,723 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 2,065 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 2,342 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 2,454 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 2,367 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 183 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 276 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 453 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 590 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 750 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 935 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,180 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,472 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,739 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,359 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,733 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,555 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,006 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,559 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,739 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,439 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,835 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,789 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 56 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 89 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 134 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 303 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 442 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 527 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 652 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 781 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,030 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,272 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,552 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 2,049 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,687 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,203 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,097 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,183 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,502 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 2,031
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 151 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 227 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 245 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 298 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 359 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 402 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 499 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 404 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 249 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: -237 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: -518 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -495 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: -240 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 163 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 327 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -96 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: -381 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: -422 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 126 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 187 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 318 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 287 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 308 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 408 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 527 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 691 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 710 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1,087 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,181 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 506 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 319 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 357 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 642 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,255 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1,333 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 758
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Cardinia Road Precinct was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 11.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 5 to 9, which is expected to increase by 1,333 and account for 9.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 2,835 persons.

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