Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
Skip to content

Cardinia Road Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Cardinia Road Precinct indicate a 68.4% increase in population under working age, a 118.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 56.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cardinia Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cardinia Road Precinct - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,03611.63,02910.62,7939.2+758
5 to 9 1,5558.92,7699.72,5428.3+987
10 to 14 1,1886.82,2507.92,2387.3+1,050
15 to 19 1,1126.31,8706.62,0936.9+981
20 to 24 1,1946.81,8566.52,0786.8+884
25 to 29 1,6919.62,1717.62,0946.9+402
30 to 34 2,07111.82,4738.72,2147.3+143
35 to 39 1,5909.12,4398.52,1307.0+540
40 to 44 1,3187.52,1537.51,9256.3+607
45 to 49 1,0285.91,8676.51,8926.2+864
50 to 54 7724.41,6335.71,8446.0+1,072
55 to 59 6073.51,2404.31,7385.7+1,131
60 to 64 5383.19313.31,4884.9+950
65 to 69 4112.36992.41,2084.0+798
70 to 74 2531.45401.99033.0+649
75 to 79 840.53631.36562.2+573
80 to 84 620.41710.63921.3+330
85 and over440.2950.32730.9+229
Total persons17,554100.028,551100.030,501100.0+12,947

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 273 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 392 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 656 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 903 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 1,208 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 1,488 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 1,738 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,844 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,892 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,925 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 2,130 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 2,214 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 2,094 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 2,078 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 2,093 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 2,238 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 2,542 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 2,793 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 95 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 171 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 363 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 540 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 699 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 931 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,240 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,633 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,867 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,153 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,439 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,473 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,171 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,856 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,870 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,250 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,769 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 3,029 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 44 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 62 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 84 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 253 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 411 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 538 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 607 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 772 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,028 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,318 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,590 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 2,071 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,691 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,194 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,112 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,188 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,555 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 2,036
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 177 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 221 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 293 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 363 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 509 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 557 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 498 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 210 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 24 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: -228 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: -309 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -259 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: -77 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 222 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 223 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -12 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: -226 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: -236 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 52 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 280 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 287 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 288 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 393 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 633 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 862 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 839 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 835 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 849 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 402 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 480 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 662 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 759 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,062 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1,214 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 994
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Cardinia Road Precinct was ages 30 to 34 , which accounted for 11.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 5 to 9 , which is expected to increase by 1,214 and account for 9.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 3,029 persons.

v19.05.15-1.0.0