Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Cardinia Road Employment

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Cardinia Road Employment indicate a 147400.0% increase in population under working age, a 22800.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 45114.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cardinia Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cardinia Road Employment - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 402.363012.95679.5+566
5 to 905.249710.25539.3+553
10 to 1419.33487.25068.5+505
15 to 1917.42966.14758.0+474
20 to 2417.14168.54557.6+455
25 to 2902.357611.84437.4+443
30 to 3403.056511.64407.4+440
35 to 3904.44318.94387.3+438
40 to 4415.72966.14557.6+454
45 to 4919.62274.74046.8+403
50 to 5417.01693.53045.1+304
55 to 5918.21092.22303.9+229
60 to 64110.7801.61933.2+192
65 to 6918.6651.31612.7+160
70 to 7404.7731.51352.3+135
75 to 7901.5390.8971.6+97
80 to 8401.9240.5631.1+63
85 and over01.0280.6400.7+40
Total persons9100.04,872100.05,960100.0+5,951

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 40 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 63 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 97 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 135 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 161 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 193 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 230 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 304 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 404 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 455 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 438 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 440 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 443 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 455 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 475 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 506 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 553 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 567 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 28 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 65 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 80 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 169 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 227 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 296 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 431 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 565 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 576 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 416 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 296 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 348 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 497 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 630 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 0 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 0 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 0 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 0 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 0 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 0 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 0 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 0 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 0
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 12 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 39 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 58 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 62 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 96 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 113 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 121 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 135 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 177 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 159 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 7 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -124 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: -134 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 39 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 179 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 158 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 56 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: -64 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 28 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 64 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 79 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 108 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 169 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 226 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 295 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 431 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 565 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 576 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 416 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 296 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 348 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 496 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 630
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Cardinia Road Employment was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 9.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 630 and account for 12.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 630 persons.

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