Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Beaconsfield Upper & District

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Beaconsfield Upper & District indicate a 3.0% decrease in population under working age, a 34.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.2% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cardinia Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Beaconsfield Upper & District - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42235.02595.82575.7+34
5 to 93106.93117.03157.0+6
10 to 144139.23487.83668.1-47
15 to 193046.83096.93136.9+9
20 to 242986.62565.72395.3-59
25 to 291583.51663.71683.7+10
30 to 341753.91914.31874.1+12
35 to 392645.92395.32505.5-14
40 to 443227.22946.63046.7-17
45 to 493247.23066.83046.7-20
50 to 543848.63006.72906.4-95
55 to 593347.52916.52806.2-55
60 to 643357.53387.62936.5-43
65 to 692736.12976.62776.1+4
70 to 741583.52505.62375.2+79
75 to 791062.41723.92024.5+96
80 to 84501.1771.71292.8+79
85 and over531.2651.51112.5+58
Total persons4,485100.04,469100.04,522100.0+37

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 111 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 129 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 202 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 237 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 277 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 293 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 280 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 290 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 304 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 304 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 250 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 187 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 168 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 239 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 313 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 366 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 315 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 257 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 65 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 77 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 172 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 250 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 297 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 338 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 291 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 300 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 306 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 294 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 239 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 191 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 166 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 256 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 309 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 348 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 311 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 259 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 53 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 50 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 106 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 158 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 273 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 335 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 334 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 384 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 324 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 322 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 264 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 175 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 158 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 298 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 304 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 413 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 310 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 223
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 45 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 52 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 30 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: -13 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: -20 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: -46 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: -12 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: -10 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: -2 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 11 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 11 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -5 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: -17 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 4 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 18 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 5 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: -2 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 27 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 66 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 92 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -43 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -85 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -18 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -28 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -25 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 16 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 8 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -43 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -65 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 36
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Beaconsfield Upper & District was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 9.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 92 and account for 5.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 348 persons.

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