idc-logo
svg rectangle color
Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast

Pakenham area

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Pakenham area indicate a 5.5% increase in males under working age, a 14.1% increase in males of retirement age, and a 11.9% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cardinia Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Pakenham area - Total males202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,3798.92,7199.23,3808.3+1,001
5 to 92,4199.02,3167.83,2418.0+822
10 to 142,0087.52,1437.22,7796.8+771
15 to 191,6246.01,8546.32,3195.7+695
20 to 241,6876.31,9556.62,4666.1+779
25 to 292,2708.52,4618.33,2448.0+974
30 to 342,5129.42,7159.23,5028.6+990
35 to 392,3718.82,5178.53,2498.0+878
40 to 441,8616.92,1597.32,7786.8+916
45 to 491,5865.91,7615.92,4946.1+908
50 to 541,3535.01,5405.22,1635.3+810
55 to 591,1344.21,3234.51,9134.7+779
60 to 649153.41,0883.71,6314.0+716
65 to 697452.88542.91,4543.6+709
70 to 746872.67342.51,3603.3+673
75 to 795942.26582.21,2453.1+651
80 to 843931.54981.78682.1+475
85 and over3041.13621.26231.5+319
Total persons26,841100.029,658100.040,708100.0+13,867
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Pakenham area was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 9.4% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 341 and account for 9.2% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 2,719 males.

DISCLAIMER: While all due care has been taken to ensure that the content of this website is accurate and current, there may be errors or omissions in it and no legal responsibility is accepted for the information and opinions in this website.

Please view our Privacy Policy, Terms of use and Legal notices.

ABS Data and the copyright in the ABS Data remains the property of the Australian Bureau of Statistics. The copyright in the way .id has modified, transformed or reconfigured the ABS Data as published on this website remains the property of .id. ABS Data can be accessed from the Australian Bureau of Statistics at www.abs.gov.au. ABS data can be used under license - terms published on ABS website. intermediary.management@abs.gov.au if you have any queries or wish to distribute any ABS data.