Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Cardinia Road Precinct

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Cardinia Road Precinct is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Cardinia Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Relatively stable migration profile expected across the 2016-2026 period
  • Migration gain is expected in all age groups
  • The largest migration gains are expected in couples and young families (20-34 years) with children (0-9 years)
  • Overall rates of in-migration decline over time as land opportunities are exhausted
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 58 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -31 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -20 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -21 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -41 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -38 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -43 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -19 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -78 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -194 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -239 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 155 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 417 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 271 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -32 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -287 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -357 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 27 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 43 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -11 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -6 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -7 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 6 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 55 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 23 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -145 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -235 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 164 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 480 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 351 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 80 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -139 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -248 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 83 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 39 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -3 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 14 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 3 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 64 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 102 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 144 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 216 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 253 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 269 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 272 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 682 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,001 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 835 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 468 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 315 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 290 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 699 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 58 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -31 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -20 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -21 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -41 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -38 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -43 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -19 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -78 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -194 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -239 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 155 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 417 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 271 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -32 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -287 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -357 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 27 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 43 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -11 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -6 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -7 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 6 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 55 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 23 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -145 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -235 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 164 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 480 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 351 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 80 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -139 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -248 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 83 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 39 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -3 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 14 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 3 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 64 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 102 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 144 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 216 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 253 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 269 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 272 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 682 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,001 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 835 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 468 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 315 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 290 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 699
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
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