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City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast

City of Canterbury Bankstown

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Canterbury Bankstown indicate a 16.1% increase in population under working age, a 32.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 14.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Canterbury Bankstown - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 426,7827.431,0597.332,9097.1+6,128
5 to 925,0876.928,7996.830,8016.6+5,713
10 to 1422,3296.226,2676.228,7036.2+6,374
15 to 1922,5446.226,6206.328,7786.2+6,235
20 to 2426,7507.429,3716.931,5756.8+4,825
25 to 2929,1758.132,3287.634,2027.4+5,027
30 to 3428,3017.831,9197.533,2647.2+4,963
35 to 3924,8646.930,0007.131,5016.8+6,637
40 to 4423,6146.528,2006.729,9136.5+6,298
45 to 4922,5896.225,7976.128,3636.1+5,773
50 to 5422,3806.224,0825.726,8335.8+4,453
55 to 5920,7585.722,5125.324,5895.3+3,831
60 to 6417,2424.821,0575.022,3394.8+5,096
65 to 6914,6154.018,7714.420,2774.4+5,662
70 to 7411,1353.115,4293.618,6434.0+7,508
75 to 798,9602.512,3252.915,9203.4+6,960
80 to 846,9711.98,8792.112,1632.6+5,191
85 and over7,4562.19,8032.312,5382.7+5,081
Total persons361,554100.0423,219100.0463,311100.0+101,757
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Canterbury Bankstown was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 5,135 and account for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 32,328 persons.

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