City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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Bankstown

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bankstown indicate a 36.4% increase in population under working age, a 72.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 41.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bankstown - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43,0529.13,8487.94,4927.6+1,440
5 to 92,3487.03,2806.84,0336.9+1,685
10 to 141,9175.72,8565.93,4305.8+1,513
15 to 191,9605.83,0186.23,5856.1+1,624
20 to 242,7518.24,0058.34,6898.0+1,938
25 to 293,2369.64,7229.85,4139.2+2,178
30 to 343,0279.04,1618.64,7758.1+1,748
35 to 392,3617.03,3777.03,9396.7+1,578
40 to 442,1546.42,9886.23,4795.9+1,325
45 to 491,9005.62,7685.73,3385.7+1,438
50 to 541,9425.82,6175.43,1725.4+1,230
55 to 591,8545.52,3404.82,8784.9+1,024
60 to 641,4594.32,0824.32,5474.3+1,088
65 to 691,1813.51,8203.82,1933.7+1,012
70 to 748222.41,4773.11,9993.4+1,177
75 to 796752.01,1122.31,7423.0+1,067
80 to 844971.57761.61,3062.2+810
85 and over5121.51,1702.41,7593.0+1,246
Total persons33,648100.048,418100.058,769100.0+25,122

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,759 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,306 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,742 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 1,999 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 2,193 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 2,547 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,878 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 3,172 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 3,338 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 3,479 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 3,939 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 4,775 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 5,413 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 4,689 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 3,585 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 3,430 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 4,033 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 4,492 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,170 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 776 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,112 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,477 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,820 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,082 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,340 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,617 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,768 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,988 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 3,377 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 4,161 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 4,722 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 4,005 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 3,018 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,856 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 3,280 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 3,848 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 512 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 497 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 675 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 822 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,181 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1,459 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,854 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,942 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,900 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 2,154 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 2,361 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 3,027 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 3,236 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 2,751 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,960 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,917 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 2,348 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 3,052
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 588 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 530 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 630 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 522 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 373 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 465 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 537 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 556 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 570 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 492 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 562 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 613 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 691 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 684 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 567 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 574 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 753 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 644 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 658 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 279 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 437 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 655 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 639 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 623 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 487 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 675 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 868 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 834 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,017 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 1,134 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 1,487 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 1,254 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 1,057 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 939 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 932 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 796
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Bankstown was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 9.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 1,487 and account for 9.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 4,722 persons.

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