City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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Punchbowl

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Punchbowl indicate a 33.8% increase in population under working age, a 47.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 23.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Punchbowl - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,7188.12,3718.72,5148.3+796
5 to 91,5987.62,1017.72,2697.5+671
10 to 141,4566.91,9137.02,1357.0+680
15 to 191,5277.21,9237.12,1507.1+623
20 to 241,7948.52,1087.72,2647.5+470
25 to 291,8358.72,2658.32,2967.6+461
30 to 341,7398.22,0547.52,1076.9+368
35 to 391,3816.51,8166.71,9286.4+547
40 to 441,2826.11,7606.51,8486.1+565
45 to 491,2335.81,5535.71,8166.0+584
50 to 541,1905.61,4785.41,7755.9+585
55 to 591,1335.41,3094.81,5335.1+400
60 to 649504.51,1364.21,3454.4+395
65 to 697193.41,0613.91,2004.0+481
70 to 745562.69173.41,0923.6+536
75 to 794752.26342.39133.0+438
80 to 842911.44051.56462.1+355
85 and over2761.34051.55011.7+225
Total persons21,154100.027,211100.030,334100.0+9,180

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 501 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 646 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 913 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 1,092 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 1,200 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 1,345 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 1,533 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,775 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,816 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,848 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,928 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 2,107 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 2,296 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 2,264 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 2,150 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 2,135 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 2,269 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,514 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 405 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 405 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 634 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 917 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,061 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,136 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,309 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,478 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,553 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,760 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,816 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,054 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,265 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 2,108 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,923 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,913 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,101 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,371 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 276 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 291 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 475 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 556 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 719 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 950 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,133 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,190 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,233 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,282 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,381 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,739 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,835 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,794 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,527 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,456 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,598 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,718
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 95 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 241 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 279 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 174 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 139 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 209 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 224 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 297 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 264 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 87 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 113 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 53 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 156 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 226 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 222 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 167 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 143 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 129 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 114 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 159 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 362 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 342 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 186 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 176 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 288 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 320 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 478 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 434 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 315 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 429 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 314 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 397 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 457 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 504 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 653
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Punchbowl was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 653 and account for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 2,371 persons.

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