City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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Picnic Point

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Picnic Point indicate a 6.4% decrease in population under working age, a 21.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.5% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Picnic Point - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44206.83986.44086.3-13
5 to 95078.24316.94446.9-63
10 to 144276.94397.04527.0+24
15 to 194126.64507.24306.6+18
20 to 243866.23675.93815.9-5
25 to 292914.73004.83225.0+31
30 to 343575.83295.33415.3-16
35 to 394437.13776.13986.1-45
40 to 444407.14186.74276.6-13
45 to 494487.24216.84046.2-44
50 to 543996.43986.43956.1-4
55 to 594126.64106.64026.2-10
60 to 643445.53635.83675.7+23
65 to 692904.73465.63535.4+62
70 to 741913.12814.53114.8+121
75 to 791792.92203.52784.3+100
80 to 841432.31312.11983.1+56
85 and over1222.01472.41722.7+50
Total persons6,212100.06,224100.06,486100.0+274

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 172 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 198 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 278 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 311 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 353 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 367 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 402 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 395 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 404 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 427 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 398 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 341 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 322 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 381 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 430 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 452 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 444 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 408 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 147 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 220 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 281 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 346 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 363 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 410 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 398 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 421 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 418 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 377 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 329 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 300 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 367 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 450 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 439 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 431 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 398 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 122 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 143 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 179 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 191 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 290 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 344 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 412 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 399 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 448 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 440 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 443 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 357 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 291 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 386 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 412 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 427 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 507 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 420
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 67 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 58 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -8 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -17 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 9 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 15 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -19 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: -11 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -2 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -2 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -27 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -22 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -66 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -28 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 9 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 38 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -77 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -23
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Picnic Point was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 90 and account for 4.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 450 persons.

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