City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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Padstow - Padstow Heights

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Padstow - Padstow Heights indicate a 11.8% increase in population under working age, a 25.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.2% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Padstow - Padstow Heights - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0546.11,1146.11,1485.8+94
5 to 99595.51,1466.31,1746.0+215
10 to 149905.71,0976.01,1836.0+192
15 to 191,1006.31,0135.61,1435.8+43
20 to 241,1656.79405.21,0315.2-134
25 to 291,1836.81,0085.51,0425.3-141
30 to 341,2137.01,1156.11,1465.8-67
35 to 391,0616.11,2046.61,2486.3+187
40 to 441,0936.31,2126.61,2646.4+172
45 to 491,1086.41,1376.21,2486.3+140
50 to 541,2707.31,1186.11,2256.2-45
55 to 591,1686.71,1146.11,1766.0+8
60 to 649675.61,2206.71,1235.7+156
65 to 697934.61,0715.91,0635.4+270
70 to 746263.68534.71,0845.5+459
75 to 795403.16723.79054.6+365
80 to 844542.65593.17193.7+266
85 and over6163.56403.57363.7+120
Total persons17,360100.018,233100.019,659100.0+2,299

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 736 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 719 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 905 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 1,084 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 1,063 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 1,123 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 1,176 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,225 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,248 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,264 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,248 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,146 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,042 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,031 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,143 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 1,183 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 1,174 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,148 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 640 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 559 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 672 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 853 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,071 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,220 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,114 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,118 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,137 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,212 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,204 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,115 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,008 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 940 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,013 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,097 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,146 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,114 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 616 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 454 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 540 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 626 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 793 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 967 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,168 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,270 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,108 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,093 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,061 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,213 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,183 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,165 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,100 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 990 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 959 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,054
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 97 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 160 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 233 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 231 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -8 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -97 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 62 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 106 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 111 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 52 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 44 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 91 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 130 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 86 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 33 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 105 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 132 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 227 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 278 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 253 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -54 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -151 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 28 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 119 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 143 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -98 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -175 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -225 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -87 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 187 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 61
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Padstow - Padstow Heights was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69, which is expected to increase by 278 and account for 5.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 1,220 persons.

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