City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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Lakemba

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Lakemba indicate a 11.1% increase in population under working age, a 38.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 16.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Lakemba - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,94610.82,0649.72,1439.6+198
5 to 91,5238.41,5577.41,6517.4+128
10 to 149765.41,3166.21,3376.0+361
15 to 198824.91,2796.01,2775.7+395
20 to 241,3667.61,6247.71,7267.7+360
25 to 291,92310.72,0989.92,1459.6+223
30 to 341,89310.52,0689.82,0619.2+168
35 to 391,6489.11,7038.01,7097.7+61
40 to 441,0816.01,4046.61,4276.4+345
45 to 499065.01,2375.81,2505.6+345
50 to 548404.79734.61,1415.1+301
55 to 597824.38343.91,0104.5+228
60 to 646003.37153.47783.5+177
65 to 694582.56463.06703.0+212
70 to 743952.25512.66232.8+228
75 to 792831.64272.05332.4+250
80 to 842351.32971.43691.7+135
85 and over2941.63861.84442.0+151
Total persons18,031100.021,180100.022,296100.0+4,264

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 444 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 369 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 533 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 623 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 670 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 778 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 1,010 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,141 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,250 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,427 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,709 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 2,061 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 2,145 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,726 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,277 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 1,337 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 1,651 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,143 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 386 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 297 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 427 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 551 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 646 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 715 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 834 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 973 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,237 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,404 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,703 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,068 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,098 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,624 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,279 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,316 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,557 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,064 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 294 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 235 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 283 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 395 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 458 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 600 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 782 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 840 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 906 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,081 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,648 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,893 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,923 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,366 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 882 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 976 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,523 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,946
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 58 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 73 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 106 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 72 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 62 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 176 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 168 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -7 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 102 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 94 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 79 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 92 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 62 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 144 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 156 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 187 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 52 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 133 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 332 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 322 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 175 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 175 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 258 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 397 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 340 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 34 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 118
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Lakemba was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 10.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 397 and account for 6.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 2,098 persons.

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