City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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Earlwood

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Earlwood indicate a 6.0% decrease in population under working age, a 10.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Earlwood - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0615.79955.21,0115.2-50
5 to 91,1756.31,0645.61,0815.5-94
10 to 141,1636.21,1376.01,1415.8-22
15 to 191,1406.11,1656.11,1475.8+7
20 to 241,0745.71,1065.81,1245.7+50
25 to 299905.31,0015.31,0415.3+51
30 to 341,0705.71,0135.31,0555.4-14
35 to 391,2236.51,1526.11,1966.1-27
40 to 441,5068.01,2496.61,2696.5-237
45 to 491,4847.91,2636.71,2496.4-234
50 to 541,2956.91,3867.31,2526.4-43
55 to 591,1646.21,3897.31,2496.4+84
60 to 649254.91,2116.41,2916.6+366
65 to 699014.81,0265.41,2276.3+326
70 to 747874.27954.21,0415.3+254
75 to 797373.97493.98664.4+129
80 to 845442.96223.36653.4+122
85 and over4982.76513.47073.6+209
Total persons18,735100.018,977100.019,612100.0+877

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 707 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 665 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 866 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 1,041 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 1,227 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 1,291 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 1,249 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,252 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,249 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,269 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,196 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,055 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,041 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,124 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,147 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 1,141 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 1,081 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,011 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 651 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 622 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 749 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 795 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,026 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,211 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,389 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,386 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,263 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,249 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,152 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,013 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,001 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,106 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,165 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,137 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,064 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 995 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 498 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 544 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 737 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 787 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 901 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 925 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,164 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,295 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,484 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,506 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,223 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,070 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 990 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,074 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,140 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,163 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,175 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,061
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 55 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 43 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 117 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 246 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 201 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 80 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -140 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -134 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -14 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 43 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 42 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 40 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 18 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -18 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 17 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 154 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 79 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 8 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 125 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 286 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 225 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -220 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -257 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -71 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -57 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 11 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 32 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -26 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -111 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -66
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Earlwood was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 60 to 64, which is expected to increase by 286 and account for 6.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 1,389 persons.

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