City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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Condell Park - Bankstown Aerodrome

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Condell Park - Bankstown Aerodrome indicate a 1.7% increase in population under working age, a 28.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Condell Park - Bankstown Aerodrome - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49858.29887.71,0467.4+61
5 to 99517.99867.61,0337.3+82
10 to 148887.48987.09496.7+61
15 to 198527.18576.69126.5+60
20 to 249507.98906.99626.8+12
25 to 298817.39317.21,0237.3+143
30 to 349177.69057.09646.8+47
35 to 397846.58466.69086.4+124
40 to 447976.68186.38636.1+66
45 to 496785.67766.08385.9+160
50 to 546675.57926.18245.8+157
55 to 596555.46725.27365.2+81
60 to 645434.56094.76924.9+148
65 to 694673.95764.56014.3+134
70 to 743733.14763.75594.0+186
75 to 792652.23873.04923.5+227
80 to 842051.72682.13692.6+164
85 and over1941.62251.73332.4+138
Total persons12,052100.012,898100.014,102100.0+2,050

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 333 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 369 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 492 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 559 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 601 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 692 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 736 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 824 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 838 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 863 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 908 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 964 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,023 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 962 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 912 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 949 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 1,033 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,046 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 225 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 268 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 387 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 476 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 576 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 609 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 672 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 792 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 776 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 818 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 846 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 905 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 931 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 890 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 857 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 898 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 986 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 988 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 194 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 205 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 265 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 373 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 467 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 543 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 655 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 667 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 678 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 797 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 784 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 917 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 881 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 950 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 852 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 888 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 951 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 985
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 107 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 101 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 105 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 83 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 83 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 64 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 32 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 63 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 46 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 62 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 60 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 92 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 72 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 54 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 51 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 58 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 122 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 103 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 66 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 125 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 97 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -13 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 51 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -60 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 9 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 35 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 3
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Condell Park - Bankstown Aerodrome was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 50 to 54, which is expected to increase by 125 and account for 6.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 988 persons.

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