City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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Chester Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Chester Hill indicate a 6.8% increase in population under working age, a 29.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.6% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Chester Hill - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49427.61,0017.61,0467.7+104
5 to 99267.41,0037.71,0667.8+140
10 to 148717.09217.01,0047.4+133
15 to 198717.09086.99657.1+94
20 to 249327.59187.09256.8-7
25 to 298987.29557.39617.1+63
30 to 348817.18946.89006.6+19
35 to 397155.78176.28456.2+130
40 to 447456.07886.08045.9+59
45 to 497586.16835.27255.3-33
50 to 548136.56474.96724.9-141
55 to 597696.26595.06294.6-140
60 to 646425.27075.46004.4-42
65 to 694883.96605.05734.2+85
70 to 743272.65394.16044.4+277
75 to 792602.13772.95113.8+251
80 to 842632.12682.03952.9+132
85 and over3592.93502.73972.9+38
Total persons12,460100.013,094100.013,622100.0+1,162

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 397 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 395 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 511 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 604 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 573 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 600 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 629 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 672 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 725 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 804 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 845 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 900 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 961 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 925 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 965 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 1,004 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 1,066 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,046 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 350 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 268 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 377 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 539 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 660 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 707 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 659 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 647 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 683 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 788 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 817 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 894 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 955 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 918 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 908 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 921 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,003 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,001 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 359 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 263 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 260 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 327 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 488 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 642 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 769 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 813 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 758 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 745 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 715 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 881 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 898 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 932 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 871 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 871 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 926 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 942
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 127 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 134 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 65 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -87 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -106 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -31 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 42 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 17 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 28 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 58 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 83 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 63 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 45 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -9 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 5 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 117 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 213 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 172 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 64 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -110 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -167 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -75 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 43 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 102 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 58 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -14 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 37 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 50 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 77 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 59
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Chester Hill was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 213 and account for 4.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 1,003 persons.

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