City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Canterbury

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Canterbury indicate a 101.3% increase in population under working age, a 31.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 73.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Canterbury - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44706.29647.48176.2+347
5 to 93244.38086.27665.8+442
10 to 143995.36304.87105.4+311
15 to 193694.96955.37655.8+396
20 to 246058.01,0327.99257.0+320
25 to 2992912.31,1849.01,0147.7+85
30 to 3476610.11,1809.09977.6+231
35 to 396258.21,2009.21,0137.7+388
40 to 445447.21,1749.01,0457.9+501
45 to 494385.81,1048.41,0938.3+655
50 to 544996.67755.99777.4+478
55 to 593865.15434.18446.4+458
60 to 642543.45284.06314.8+377
65 to 692883.83923.04513.4+163
70 to 742253.02932.24323.3+207
75 to 791992.62662.03132.4+114
80 to 841331.81621.21961.5+63
85 and over1291.71631.21821.4+53
Total persons7,582100.013,091100.013,173100.0+5,591

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 182 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 196 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 313 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 432 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 451 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 631 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 844 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 977 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,093 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,045 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,013 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 997 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,014 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 925 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 765 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 710 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 766 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 817 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 163 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 162 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 266 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 293 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 392 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 528 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 543 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 775 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,104 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,174 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,200 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,180 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,184 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,032 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 695 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 630 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 808 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 964 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 129 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 133 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 199 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 225 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 288 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 254 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 386 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 499 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 438 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 544 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 625 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 766 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 929 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 605 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 369 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 399 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 324 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 470
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 18 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 139 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 59 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 103 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 301 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 202 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -12 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -128 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -187 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -182 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -169 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -106 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 70 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 81 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -41 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -147 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 34 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 67 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 68 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 104 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 274 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 157 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 276 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 666 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 630 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 575 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 414 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 255 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 427 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 326 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 231 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 484 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 494
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Canterbury was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 12.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 45 to 49, which is expected to increase by 666 and account for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 1,200 persons.

v19.10.16-1.0.0