City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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Bass Hill - Lansdowne

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bass Hill - Lansdowne indicate a 15.0% decrease in population under working age, a 29.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.5% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bass Hill - Lansdowne - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47357.65936.65606.3-175
5 to 97507.86417.15986.8-152
10 to 147277.56467.15956.7-132
15 to 196817.06367.05946.7-87
20 to 247517.86156.85596.3-192
25 to 296797.05436.05085.8-170
30 to 346236.45696.35416.1-81
35 to 396376.65626.25596.3-78
40 to 445625.85135.75406.1-22
45 to 495705.95055.65125.8-58
50 to 546136.34815.34795.4-135
55 to 595575.84875.44555.2-102
60 to 644474.65075.64264.8-21
65 to 694114.24565.04274.8+16
70 to 743153.23804.24425.0+127
75 to 792432.53503.93974.5+153
80 to 841871.92693.03143.6+127
85 and over1942.02923.23163.6+123
Total persons9,682100.09,043100.08,823100.0-859

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 316 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 314 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 397 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 442 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 427 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 426 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 455 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 479 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 512 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 540 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 559 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 541 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 508 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 559 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 594 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 595 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 598 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 560 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 292 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 269 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 350 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 380 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 456 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 507 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 487 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 481 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 505 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 513 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 562 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 569 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 543 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 615 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 636 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 646 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 641 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 593 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 194 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 187 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 243 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 315 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 411 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 447 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 557 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 613 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 570 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 562 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 637 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 623 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 679 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 751 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 681 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 727 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 750 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 735
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 45 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 62 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -29 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -81 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -32 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 27 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -27 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -34 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -56 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -41 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -51 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -42 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -32 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 98 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 82 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 66 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 45 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 60 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -70 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -132 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -65 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -49 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -75 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -54 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -136 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -136 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -46 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -81 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -110 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -143
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Bass Hill - Lansdowne was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 106 and account for 3.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 646 persons.

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