City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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Ashbury

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Ashbury indicate a 39.6% increase in population under working age, a 32.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 34.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Ashbury - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41875.63016.62495.8+62
5 to 92517.53247.12826.5+31
10 to 142367.03166.92946.8+58
15 to 192547.52956.52846.6+30
20 to 241795.32335.12365.5+57
25 to 291203.62375.21964.5+76
30 to 341514.52756.02114.9+60
35 to 392116.33367.42716.3+60
40 to 442336.93577.83077.1+74
45 to 493239.63237.13297.6+6
50 to 542708.02535.63047.0+34
55 to 592166.42966.52696.2+53
60 to 641845.52746.02385.5+54
65 to 691955.82094.62425.6+47
70 to 741243.71613.52044.7+80
75 to 791153.41623.61683.9+53
80 to 84662.01092.41252.9+59
85 and over521.5912.01042.4+52
Total persons3,367100.04,550100.04,314100.0+947

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 104 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 125 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 168 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 204 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 242 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 238 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 269 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 304 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 329 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 307 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 271 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 211 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 196 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 236 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 284 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 294 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 282 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 249 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 162 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 161 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 209 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 274 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 296 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 253 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 323 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 357 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 336 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 275 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 237 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 233 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 295 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 316 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 324 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 301 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 52 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 66 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 115 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 124 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 195 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 184 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 216 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 270 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 323 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 233 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 211 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 151 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 120 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 179 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 254 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 236 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 251 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 187
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 17 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 44 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 33 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -35 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -27 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 51 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -50 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -65 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -64 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -41 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -11 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -22 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -42 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -51 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 43 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 47 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 37 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 14 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 80 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -17 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 0 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 124 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 125 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 124 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 117 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 54 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 41 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 80 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 114
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Ashbury was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 9.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 125 and account for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 357 persons.

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