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City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast

City of Canterbury Bankstown

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2030, the age structure forecasts for City of Canterbury Bankstown indicate a 13.3% increase in population under working age, a 21.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 10.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Canterbury Bankstown - Total persons202120302036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 425,1776.830,6707.331,9207.2+6,743
5 to 924,9306.727,9126.629,3936.6+4,463
10 to 1424,2136.525,5976.127,5526.2+3,339
15 to 1922,7506.126,0766.226,8096.0+4,058
20 to 2425,5826.929,2687.030,2376.8+4,655
25 to 2928,1897.631,5887.533,1317.5+4,942
30 to 3428,2947.631,5487.532,7147.4+4,420
35 to 3927,2777.329,8937.131,0147.0+3,737
40 to 4423,8816.427,3046.528,3866.4+4,505
45 to 4923,2136.226,0196.226,9876.1+3,774
50 to 5422,3206.023,8245.725,8085.8+3,488
55 to 5921,9455.923,2505.523,9065.4+1,961
60 to 6419,8825.320,9395.022,1015.0+2,220
65 to 6915,9934.319,0704.519,5434.4+3,550
70 to 7413,3013.616,2093.917,4943.9+4,193
75 to 799,6972.612,7693.014,9103.4+5,213
80 to 847,4272.09,6262.311,0182.5+3,591
85 and over8,2262.28,8682.110,2152.3+1,989
Total persons372,296100.0420,430100.0443,139100.0+70,843
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Canterbury Bankstown was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2030 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 5,494 and account for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2030 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 31,588 persons.

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