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City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast

City of Canterbury Bankstown

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2030, the age structure forecasts for City of Canterbury Bankstown indicate a 13.6% increase in males under working age, a 21.0% increase in males of retirement age, and a 11.5% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Canterbury Bankstown - Total males202120302036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)12,9936.915,8747.516,5217.4+3,528
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)18,0259.619,8689.321,1129.4+3,087
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)14,5997.815,9277.516,7577.5+2,158
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)18,2279.721,22210.021,8479.8+3,620
Young workforce (25 to 34)29,10015.532,97915.534,36615.3+5,266
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)37,28819.941,94919.743,66319.5+6,376
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)21,90811.723,32911.024,69111.0+2,783
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)17,5769.419,5779.220,3679.1+2,791
Seniors (70 to 84)14,5737.817,9888.520,1889.0+5,615
Elderly aged (85 and over)3,4151.83,8811.84,4442.0+1,029
Total persons187,704100.0212,594100.0223,957100.0+36,253
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in City of Canterbury Bankstown was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 19.9% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2030 is forecast to be in ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which is expected to increase by 4,661 and account for 19.7% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2030 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 41,949 males.

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