City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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City of Canterbury Bankstown

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in City of Canterbury Bankstown is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Canterbury Bankstown - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)26,7827.431,0597.332,9097.1+6,128
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)34,3649.539,4159.342,4669.2+8,102
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)26,2457.331,2737.433,9737.3+7,728
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)36,10110.040,3709.543,4189.4+7,317
Young workforce (25 to 34)57,47615.964,24715.267,46614.6+9,990
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)71,06819.783,99719.889,77619.4+18,708
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)43,13711.946,59411.051,42211.1+8,284
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)31,8578.839,8289.442,6169.2+10,759
Seniors (70 to 84)27,0677.536,6328.746,72610.1+19,659
Elderly aged (85 and over)7,4562.19,8032.312,5382.7+5,081
Total persons361,554100.0423,219100.0463,311100.0+101,757

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 12,538 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 46,726 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 42,616 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 51,422 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 89,776 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 67,466 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 43,418 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 33,973 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 42,466 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 32,909 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 9,803 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 36,632 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 39,828 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 46,594 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 83,997 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 64,247 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 40,370 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 31,273 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 39,415 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 31,059 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 7,456 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 27,067 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 31,857 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 43,137 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 71,068 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 57,476 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 36,101 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 26,245 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 34,364 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 26,782
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 2,735 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 10,094 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 2,788 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 4,828 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 5,779 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 3,220 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 3,048 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 2,700 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 3,050 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1,850 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 2,347 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 9,566 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 7,971 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 3,456 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 12,929 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 6,770 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 4,270 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 5,027 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 5,051 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 4,277
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In City of Canterbury Bankstown between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 14,356 (16.4%), and will comprise 24.0% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 19,883 (30.0%) and comprise 20.4% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 83,997 persons.

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