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City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast

City of Canterbury Bankstown

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2030, the age structure forecasts for City of Canterbury Bankstown indicate a 13.6% increase in males under working age, a 21.0% increase in males of retirement age, and a 11.5% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Canterbury Bankstown - Total males202120302036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 412,9936.915,8747.516,5217.4+3,528
5 to 912,8786.914,5016.815,2746.8+2,396
10 to 1412,5856.713,3096.314,3646.4+1,778
15 to 1911,8706.313,6466.414,0206.3+2,151
20 to 2413,5187.215,5607.316,0597.2+2,541
25 to 2914,7317.816,6127.817,4167.8+2,685
30 to 3414,3707.716,3677.716,9507.6+2,580
35 to 3913,9547.415,3897.215,9837.1+2,029
40 to 4411,8316.313,6676.414,3096.4+2,478
45 to 4911,5036.112,8946.113,3716.0+1,869
50 to 5410,9515.811,7965.512,8455.7+1,894
55 to 5910,9575.811,5335.411,8465.3+889
60 to 649,8595.310,3374.910,9494.9+1,090
65 to 697,7174.19,2404.39,4184.2+1,701
70 to 746,4663.47,6993.68,3283.7+1,863
75 to 794,6982.55,8912.86,9283.1+2,230
80 to 843,4091.84,3982.14,9312.2+1,523
85 and over3,4151.83,8811.84,4442.0+1,029
Total persons187,704100.0212,594100.0223,957100.0+36,253
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in City of Canterbury Bankstown was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 7.8% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2030 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 2,881 and account for 7.5% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2030 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 16,612 males.

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