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City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast

Greenacre - Mount Lewis - Chullora

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2030, the age structure forecasts for Greenacre - Mount Lewis - Chullora indicate a 8.5% increase in population under working age, a 22.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Greenacre - Mount Lewis - Chullora - Total persons202120302036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,8897.32,1887.82,2487.6+359
5 to 92,1008.12,3118.22,3978.2+297
10 to 142,2648.72,2878.12,4268.2+162
15 to 192,0437.92,2367.92,2767.7+233
20 to 241,8107.02,0137.12,0306.9+221
25 to 291,6926.51,7116.11,8006.1+108
30 to 341,5045.81,6265.81,6925.8+188
35 to 391,6726.51,7706.31,7806.1+108
40 to 441,6096.21,7656.31,8456.3+237
45 to 491,5275.91,7286.11,7806.1+253
50 to 541,4915.81,5475.51,6615.6+170
55 to 591,4515.61,4075.01,4735.0+21
60 to 641,3035.01,3134.71,3144.5+10
65 to 691,0974.21,1984.21,1964.1+99
70 to 748613.31,0573.71,1173.8+256
75 to 795882.38513.09633.3+374
80 to 844831.96242.27562.6+273
85 and over4981.95732.06572.2+160
Total persons25,882100.028,205100.029,411100.0+3,529
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Greenacre - Mount Lewis - Chullora was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2030 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 299 and account for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2030 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 2,311 persons.

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