City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Canterbury Bankstown

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Canterbury Bankstown indicate a 16.1% increase in population under working age, a 32.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 14.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Canterbury Bankstown is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Canterbury Bankstown - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 26,7827.431,0597.332,9097.1+6,128
5 to 9 25,0876.928,7996.830,8016.6+5,713
10 to 14 22,3296.226,2676.228,7036.2+6,374
15 to 19 22,5446.226,6206.328,7786.2+6,235
20 to 24 26,7507.429,3716.931,5756.8+4,825
25 to 29 29,1758.132,3287.634,2027.4+5,027
30 to 34 28,3017.831,9197.533,2647.2+4,963
35 to 39 24,8646.930,0007.131,5016.8+6,637
40 to 44 23,6146.528,2006.729,9136.5+6,298
45 to 49 22,5896.225,7976.128,3636.1+5,773
50 to 54 22,3806.224,0825.726,8335.8+4,453
55 to 59 20,7585.722,5125.324,5895.3+3,831
60 to 64 17,2424.821,0575.022,3394.8+5,096
65 to 69 14,6154.018,7714.420,2774.4+5,662
70 to 74 11,1353.115,4293.618,6434.0+7,508
75 to 79 8,9602.512,3252.915,9203.4+6,960
80 to 84 6,9711.98,8792.112,1632.6+5,191
85 and over7,4562.19,8032.312,5382.7+5,081
Total persons361,554100.0423,219100.0463,311100.0+101,757

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 12,538 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 12,163 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 15,920 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 18,643 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 20,277 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 22,339 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 24,589 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 26,833 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 28,363 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 29,913 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 31,501 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 33,264 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 34,202 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 31,575 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 28,778 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 28,703 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 30,801 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 32,909 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 9,803 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 8,879 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 12,325 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 15,429 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 18,771 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 21,057 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 22,512 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 24,082 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 25,797 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 28,200 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 30,000 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 31,919 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 32,328 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 29,371 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 26,620 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 26,267 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 28,799 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 31,059 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 7,456 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 6,971 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 8,960 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 11,135 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 14,615 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 17,242 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 20,758 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 22,380 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 22,589 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 23,614 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 24,864 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 28,301 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 29,175 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 26,750 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 22,544 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 22,329 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 25,087 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 26,782
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 2,735 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 3,284 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 3,595 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 3,215 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 1,507 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 1,282 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 2,078 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 2,751 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 2,565 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 1,712 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1,501 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1,345 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,874 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 2,203 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 2,158 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 2,435 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 2,001 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1,850 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 2,347 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 1,907 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 3,365 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 4,293 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 4,156 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 3,815 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 1,754 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 1,702 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 3,208 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 4,586 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 5,135 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 3,617 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 3,153 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 2,622 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 4,077 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 3,938 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 3,712 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 4,277
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Canterbury Bankstown was ages 25 to 29 , which accounted for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39 , which is expected to increase by 5,135 and account for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 32,328 persons.

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