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City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast

Condell Park - Bankstown Aerodrome

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Condell Park - Bankstown Aerodrome is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Canterbury Bankstown depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • To 2026, some limited development opportunities attracts young adults (18-24 years) and young families (0-4 and 20-29 years)
  • Loss of mature families (5-14 and 30-44 years) seeking home owing opportunities or upgrading to larger homes elsewhere, most likely triggered by the requirement for more space with the addition of another child, or children requiring separate bedrooms. These families are most likely replaced by smaller families, or by young homemakers, looking to start a family at some point in the future
  • A loss throughout the period of empty-nesters (50-64 years)
  • Slight loss of older age groups (65+ years)

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