City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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Villawood

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Villawood is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Canterbury Bankstown depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Over the short to medium term, there is a small gain in most age groups owing to the redevelopment of the Villawood Detention Centre; however, post 2021, as this opportunity is exhausted, relatively little further development results in a small loss in most age groups
  • Gain of families (5-14 and 30-44 years) owing to the redevelopment, with the attraction of young families (0-4 years post 2016, as a direct result of the redevelopment
  • Loss of young adults (18-24 years), leaving home and seeking new housing opportunities elsewhere
  • Post 2021, a net loss through migration in almost all age groups, as home leavers and families looking to upgrade to larger family homes, access housing elsewhere, owing to lack of opportunity
  • Small loss of retirees (65-74 years), and a small gain in older age groups (80-84 years) potentially attracted into low maintenance units
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -16 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 12 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 12 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -28 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -24 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -2 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 13 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 7 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -3 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -37 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -15 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 18 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: -5 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -47 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -37 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -14 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -4 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -9 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -10 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 11 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -3 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -20 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -22 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -2 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 8 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 5 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -11 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -29 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -21 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -3 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -49 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -29 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -6 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -15 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -4 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 9 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 1 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -19 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 0 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 13 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 29 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 35 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 20 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 15 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 53 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 31 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -17 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -10 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 12 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 33 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 31 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 33 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -16 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 12 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 12 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -28 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -24 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -2 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 13 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 7 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -3 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -37 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -15 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 18 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: -5 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -47 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -37 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -14 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -4 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -9 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -10 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 11 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -3 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -20 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -22 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -2 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 8 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 5 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -11 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -29 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -21 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -3 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -49 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -29 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -6 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -15 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -4 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 9 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 1 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -19 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 0 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 13 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 29 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 35 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 20 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 15 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 53 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 31 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -17 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -10 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 12 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 33 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 31 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 33
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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