City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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Bankstown Balance

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Bankstown Balance is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Canterbury Bankstown depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • A gain of families (0-14 and 25-44 years) although this falls in the later period as identified development opportunities are exhausted
  • Gain of young adults (18-24 years) throughout the period attracted by higher density accommodation and proximity to tertiary education and transport
  • Small loss of first-time homebuyers (25-34 years) pst 2021, looking for affordable family-style housing elsewhere, most likely in nearby growth areas
  • Small loss od empty-nesters and retirees (55-69 years)
  • Small gain of older persons aged 70+ years
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 0 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 8 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 7 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 9 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -8 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -31 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -14 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -3 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 45 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 68 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 15 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -88 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: -41 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 167 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 149 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 20 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -29 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 12 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 12 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 23 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 18 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 7 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -17 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -21 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 34 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 86 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 131 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 100 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -48 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 185 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 153 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 75 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 40 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 56 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 14 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 8 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 14 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 3 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -21 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -40 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 1 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 30 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 89 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 140 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 141 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -13 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 54 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 135 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 150 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 85 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 60 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 106 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 0 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: 8 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: 7 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 9 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -8 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -31 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -14 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -3 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 45 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 68 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 15 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -88 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: -41 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 167 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 149 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 20 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -29 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 12 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 12 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 23 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 18 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 7 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -17 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -21 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 34 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 86 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 131 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 100 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -48 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 185 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 153 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 75 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 40 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 56 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 14 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 8 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 14 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 3 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -21 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -40 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 1 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 30 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 89 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 140 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 141 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -13 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 54 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 135 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 150 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 85 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 60 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 106
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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