City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

City of Canterbury Bankstown

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in City of Canterbury Bankstown is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Canterbury Bankstown depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Significant new housing opportunities across the City, particularly in the Bankstown CBD and areas along Canterbury Road and the Bankstown-Sydenham rail line, which are expected to attract a range of household types, predominantly young adults and some older families
  • In the longer term, a loss of families and first-time homebuyers attracted to housing opportunities in neighbouring growth areas, but a large gain of young adults as a result of higher density development.
  • The commensurate loss in older age groups is because there is a large cohort of young adults moving into higher density accommodation, who are likely to move away to access family type housing elsewhere as they enter their late twenties and early thirties and their housing needs change
  • Slight loss of empty-nesters and retirees
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 1 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -56 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -209 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -253 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -624 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -746 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -438 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -207 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -573 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -791 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -792 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -1,098 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 2,798 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 4,618 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 2,060 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -566 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -1,297 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -1,641 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 129 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 140 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -149 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -108 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -418 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -625 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -203 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 145 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 99 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -76 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 109 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -281 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 3,459 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 5,618 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 2,545 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 20 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -556 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -977 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 181 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 71 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -69 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -101 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -372 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -504 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -245 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 294 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 296 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 840 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 613 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 96 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 3,571 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 5,585 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 3,146 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 521 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -386 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -809 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 1 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -56 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -209 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -253 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -624 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -746 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -438 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -207 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -573 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -791 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -792 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -1,098 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 2,798 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 4,618 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 2,060 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: -566 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -1,297 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -1,641 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 129 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 140 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -149 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -108 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -418 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -625 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -203 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 145 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 99 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -76 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 109 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -281 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 3,459 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 5,618 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 2,545 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 20 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -556 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -977 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 181 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 71 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -69 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -101 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -372 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -504 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -245 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 294 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 296 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 840 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 613 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 96 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 3,571 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 5,585 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 3,146 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 521 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -386 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -809
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
v18.09.24-1.0.0