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Padstow - Padstow Heights

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Padstow - Padstow Heights is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 774 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Padstow - Padstow HeightsForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--1,1811,1231,1011,121
Deaths--756770812860
Natural increase/decrease--425353290261
Net migration---60142362514
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--13000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 166 2035 forecast population change: 159 2034 forecast population change: 151 2033 forecast population change: 156 2032 forecast population change: 142 2031 forecast population change: 144 2030 forecast population change: 135 2029 forecast population change: 134 2028 forecast population change: 120 2027 forecast population change: 118 2026 forecast population change: 113 2025 forecast population change: 93 2024 forecast population change: 114 2023 forecast population change: 95 2022 forecast population change: 79 2021 forecast population change: 78 2020 forecast population change: 83 2019 forecast population change: 64 2018 forecast population change: 61 2017 forecast population change: 92
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 51 2035 Natural increase: 51 2034 Natural increase: 52 2033 Natural increase: 53 2032 Natural increase: 54 2031 Natural increase: 55 2030 Natural increase: 56 2029 Natural increase: 58 2028 Natural increase: 59 2027 Natural increase: 61 2026 Natural increase: 65 2025 Natural increase: 68 2024 Natural increase: 70 2023 Natural increase: 74 2022 Natural increase: 77 2021 Natural increase: 80 2020 Natural increase: 81 2019 Natural increase: 85 2018 Natural increase: 88 2017 Natural increase: 91 2036 Total deaths: 176 2035 Total deaths: 175 2034 Total deaths: 172 2033 Total deaths: 170 2032 Total deaths: 168 2031 Total deaths: 166 2030 Total deaths: 164 2029 Total deaths: 162 2028 Total deaths: 161 2027 Total deaths: 159 2026 Total deaths: 157 2025 Total deaths: 155 2024 Total deaths: 154 2023 Total deaths: 152 2022 Total deaths: 151 2021 Total deaths: 151 2020 Total deaths: 152 2019 Total deaths: 152 2018 Total deaths: 151 2017 Total deaths: 151 2036 Total births: 227 2035 Total births: 225 2034 Total births: 224 2033 Total births: 223 2032 Total births: 222 2031 Total births: 221 2030 Total births: 220 2029 Total births: 220 2028 Total births: 220 2027 Total births: 221 2026 Total births: 221 2025 Total births: 223 2024 Total births: 224 2023 Total births: 226 2022 Total births: 228 2021 Total births: 231 2020 Total births: 233 2019 Total births: 236 2018 Total births: 239 2017 Total births: 242 2036 Natural increase: 51 2035 Natural increase: 51 2034 Natural increase: 52 2033 Natural increase: 53 2032 Natural increase: 54 2031 Natural increase: 55 2030 Natural increase: 56 2029 Natural increase: 58 2028 Natural increase: 59 2027 Natural increase: 61 2026 Natural increase: 65 2025 Natural increase: 68 2024 Natural increase: 70 2023 Natural increase: 74 2022 Natural increase: 77 2021 Natural increase: 80 2020 Natural increase: 81 2019 Natural increase: 85 2018 Natural increase: 88 2017 Natural increase: 91 2036 Total deaths: 176 2035 Total deaths: 175 2034 Total deaths: 172 2033 Total deaths: 170 2032 Total deaths: 168 2031 Total deaths: 166 2030 Total deaths: 164 2029 Total deaths: 162 2028 Total deaths: 161 2027 Total deaths: 159 2026 Total deaths: 157 2025 Total deaths: 155 2024 Total deaths: 154 2023 Total deaths: 152 2022 Total deaths: 151 2021 Total deaths: 151 2020 Total deaths: 152 2019 Total deaths: 152 2018 Total deaths: 151 2017 Total deaths: 151 2036 Total births: 227 2035 Total births: 225 2034 Total births: 224 2033 Total births: 223 2032 Total births: 222 2031 Total births: 221 2030 Total births: 220 2029 Total births: 220 2028 Total births: 220 2027 Total births: 221 2026 Total births: 221 2025 Total births: 223 2024 Total births: 224 2023 Total births: 226 2022 Total births: 228 2021 Total births: 231 2020 Total births: 233 2019 Total births: 236 2018 Total births: 239 2017 Total births: 242
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 115 2035 Total net migration: 109 2034 Total net migration: 98 2033 Total net migration: 103 2032 Total net migration: 88 2031 Total net migration: 89 2030 Total net migration: 78 2029 Total net migration: 77 2028 Total net migration: 61 2027 Total net migration: 57 2026 Total net migration: 49 2025 Total net migration: 25 2024 Total net migration: 44 2023 Total net migration: 21 2022 Total net migration: 3 2021 Total net migration: -2 2020 Total net migration: -12 2019 Total net migration: -21 2018 Total net migration: -27 2017 Total net migration: 2 2036 Total out migration: 1,522 2035 Total out migration: 1,509 2034 Total out migration: 1,497 2033 Total out migration: 1,485 2032 Total out migration: 1,475 2031 Total out migration: 1,465 2030 Total out migration: 1,458 2029 Total out migration: 1,450 2028 Total out migration: 1,443 2027 Total out migration: 1,433 2026 Total out migration: 1,428 2025 Total out migration: 1,427 2024 Total out migration: 1,423 2023 Total out migration: 1,422 2022 Total out migration: 1,430 2021 Total out migration: 1,430 2020 Total out migration: 1,430 2019 Total out migration: 1,431 2018 Total out migration: 1,434 2017 Total out migration: 1,439 2036 Total in migration: 1,636 2035 Total in migration: 1,617 2034 Total in migration: 1,595 2033 Total in migration: 1,588 2032 Total in migration: 1,564 2031 Total in migration: 1,554 2030 Total in migration: 1,536 2029 Total in migration: 1,526 2028 Total in migration: 1,504 2027 Total in migration: 1,489 2026 Total in migration: 1,477 2025 Total in migration: 1,452 2024 Total in migration: 1,467 2023 Total in migration: 1,443 2022 Total in migration: 1,433 2021 Total in migration: 1,428 2020 Total in migration: 1,418 2019 Total in migration: 1,411 2018 Total in migration: 1,406 2017 Total in migration: 1,441 2036 Total net migration: 115 2035 Total net migration: 109 2034 Total net migration: 98 2033 Total net migration: 103 2032 Total net migration: 88 2031 Total net migration: 89 2030 Total net migration: 78 2029 Total net migration: 77 2028 Total net migration: 61 2027 Total net migration: 57 2026 Total net migration: 49 2025 Total net migration: 25 2024 Total net migration: 44 2023 Total net migration: 21 2022 Total net migration: 3 2021 Total net migration: -2 2020 Total net migration: -12 2019 Total net migration: -21 2018 Total net migration: -27 2017 Total net migration: 2 2036 Total out migration: 1,522 2035 Total out migration: 1,509 2034 Total out migration: 1,497 2033 Total out migration: 1,485 2032 Total out migration: 1,475 2031 Total out migration: 1,465 2030 Total out migration: 1,458 2029 Total out migration: 1,450 2028 Total out migration: 1,443 2027 Total out migration: 1,433 2026 Total out migration: 1,428 2025 Total out migration: 1,427 2024 Total out migration: 1,423 2023 Total out migration: 1,422 2022 Total out migration: 1,430 2021 Total out migration: 1,430 2020 Total out migration: 1,430 2019 Total out migration: 1,431 2018 Total out migration: 1,434 2017 Total out migration: 1,439 2036 Total in migration: 1,636 2035 Total in migration: 1,617 2034 Total in migration: 1,595 2033 Total in migration: 1,588 2032 Total in migration: 1,564 2031 Total in migration: 1,554 2030 Total in migration: 1,536 2029 Total in migration: 1,526 2028 Total in migration: 1,504 2027 Total in migration: 1,489 2026 Total in migration: 1,477 2025 Total in migration: 1,452 2024 Total in migration: 1,467 2023 Total in migration: 1,443 2022 Total in migration: 1,433 2021 Total in migration: 1,428 2020 Total in migration: 1,418 2019 Total in migration: 1,411 2018 Total in migration: 1,406 2017 Total in migration: 1,441
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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