City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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Canterbury

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Canterbury is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 4,210 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
CanterburyForecast period
Component2017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births8441,051980895
Deaths245279288295
Natural increase/decrease599772692600
Net migration3,560526-614-596
Change in persons in non-private dwellings52000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 6 2035 forecast population change: 5 2034 forecast population change: 6 2033 forecast population change: -8 2032 forecast population change: -6 2031 forecast population change: -11 2030 forecast population change: -10 2029 forecast population change: 19 2028 forecast population change: 13 2027 forecast population change: 66 2026 forecast population change: 97 2025 forecast population change: 122 2024 forecast population change: 237 2023 forecast population change: 335 2022 forecast population change: 508 2021 forecast population change: 598 2020 forecast population change: 827 2019 forecast population change: 1,035 2018 forecast population change: 1,079 2017 forecast population change: 672
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 114 2035 Natural increase: 117 2034 Natural increase: 120 2033 Natural increase: 123 2032 Natural increase: 127 2031 Natural increase: 130 2030 Natural increase: 134 2029 Natural increase: 138 2028 Natural increase: 143 2027 Natural increase: 146 2026 Natural increase: 150 2025 Natural increase: 155 2024 Natural increase: 157 2023 Natural increase: 157 2022 Natural increase: 154 2021 Natural increase: 147 2020 Natural increase: 137 2019 Natural increase: 122 2018 Natural increase: 103 2017 Natural increase: 91 2036 Total deaths: 60 2035 Total deaths: 60 2034 Total deaths: 59 2033 Total deaths: 58 2032 Total deaths: 58 2031 Total deaths: 58 2030 Total deaths: 57 2029 Total deaths: 57 2028 Total deaths: 58 2027 Total deaths: 58 2026 Total deaths: 58 2025 Total deaths: 57 2024 Total deaths: 55 2023 Total deaths: 55 2022 Total deaths: 54 2021 Total deaths: 53 2020 Total deaths: 52 2019 Total deaths: 48 2018 Total deaths: 46 2017 Total deaths: 46 2036 Total births: 175 2035 Total births: 176 2034 Total births: 178 2033 Total births: 181 2032 Total births: 184 2031 Total births: 188 2030 Total births: 192 2029 Total births: 196 2028 Total births: 200 2027 Total births: 204 2026 Total births: 208 2025 Total births: 211 2024 Total births: 213 2023 Total births: 212 2022 Total births: 207 2021 Total births: 200 2020 Total births: 188 2019 Total births: 170 2018 Total births: 149 2017 Total births: 137 2036 Natural increase: 114 2035 Natural increase: 117 2034 Natural increase: 120 2033 Natural increase: 123 2032 Natural increase: 127 2031 Natural increase: 130 2030 Natural increase: 134 2029 Natural increase: 138 2028 Natural increase: 143 2027 Natural increase: 146 2026 Natural increase: 150 2025 Natural increase: 155 2024 Natural increase: 157 2023 Natural increase: 157 2022 Natural increase: 154 2021 Natural increase: 147 2020 Natural increase: 137 2019 Natural increase: 122 2018 Natural increase: 103 2017 Natural increase: 91 2036 Total deaths: 60 2035 Total deaths: 60 2034 Total deaths: 59 2033 Total deaths: 58 2032 Total deaths: 58 2031 Total deaths: 58 2030 Total deaths: 57 2029 Total deaths: 57 2028 Total deaths: 58 2027 Total deaths: 58 2026 Total deaths: 58 2025 Total deaths: 57 2024 Total deaths: 55 2023 Total deaths: 55 2022 Total deaths: 54 2021 Total deaths: 53 2020 Total deaths: 52 2019 Total deaths: 48 2018 Total deaths: 46 2017 Total deaths: 46 2036 Total births: 175 2035 Total births: 176 2034 Total births: 178 2033 Total births: 181 2032 Total births: 184 2031 Total births: 188 2030 Total births: 192 2029 Total births: 196 2028 Total births: 200 2027 Total births: 204 2026 Total births: 208 2025 Total births: 211 2024 Total births: 213 2023 Total births: 212 2022 Total births: 207 2021 Total births: 200 2020 Total births: 188 2019 Total births: 170 2018 Total births: 149 2017 Total births: 137
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: -108 2035 Total net migration: -111 2034 Total net migration: -113 2033 Total net migration: -130 2032 Total net migration: -133 2031 Total net migration: -141 2030 Total net migration: -144 2029 Total net migration: -119 2028 Total net migration: -130 2027 Total net migration: -80 2026 Total net migration: -53 2025 Total net migration: -33 2024 Total net migration: 80 2023 Total net migration: 178 2022 Total net migration: 354 2021 Total net migration: 451 2020 Total net migration: 648 2019 Total net migration: 904 2018 Total net migration: 976 2017 Total net migration: 581 2036 Total out migration: 1,162 2035 Total out migration: 1,166 2034 Total out migration: 1,170 2033 Total out migration: 1,178 2032 Total out migration: 1,186 2031 Total out migration: 1,196 2030 Total out migration: 1,207 2029 Total out migration: 1,214 2028 Total out migration: 1,222 2027 Total out migration: 1,226 2026 Total out migration: 1,226 2025 Total out migration: 1,223 2024 Total out migration: 1,208 2023 Total out migration: 1,183 2022 Total out migration: 1,138 2021 Total out migration: 1,083 2020 Total out migration: 1,006 2019 Total out migration: 901 2018 Total out migration: 791 2017 Total out migration: 721 2036 Total in migration: 1,053 2035 Total in migration: 1,055 2034 Total in migration: 1,057 2033 Total in migration: 1,048 2032 Total in migration: 1,053 2031 Total in migration: 1,055 2030 Total in migration: 1,063 2029 Total in migration: 1,095 2028 Total in migration: 1,093 2027 Total in migration: 1,145 2026 Total in migration: 1,173 2025 Total in migration: 1,190 2024 Total in migration: 1,288 2023 Total in migration: 1,361 2022 Total in migration: 1,492 2021 Total in migration: 1,534 2020 Total in migration: 1,654 2019 Total in migration: 1,805 2018 Total in migration: 1,767 2017 Total in migration: 1,301 2036 Total net migration: -108 2035 Total net migration: -111 2034 Total net migration: -113 2033 Total net migration: -130 2032 Total net migration: -133 2031 Total net migration: -141 2030 Total net migration: -144 2029 Total net migration: -119 2028 Total net migration: -130 2027 Total net migration: -80 2026 Total net migration: -53 2025 Total net migration: -33 2024 Total net migration: 80 2023 Total net migration: 178 2022 Total net migration: 354 2021 Total net migration: 451 2020 Total net migration: 648 2019 Total net migration: 904 2018 Total net migration: 976 2017 Total net migration: 581 2036 Total out migration: 1,162 2035 Total out migration: 1,166 2034 Total out migration: 1,170 2033 Total out migration: 1,178 2032 Total out migration: 1,186 2031 Total out migration: 1,196 2030 Total out migration: 1,207 2029 Total out migration: 1,214 2028 Total out migration: 1,222 2027 Total out migration: 1,226 2026 Total out migration: 1,226 2025 Total out migration: 1,223 2024 Total out migration: 1,208 2023 Total out migration: 1,183 2022 Total out migration: 1,138 2021 Total out migration: 1,083 2020 Total out migration: 1,006 2019 Total out migration: 901 2018 Total out migration: 791 2017 Total out migration: 721 2036 Total in migration: 1,053 2035 Total in migration: 1,055 2034 Total in migration: 1,057 2033 Total in migration: 1,048 2032 Total in migration: 1,053 2031 Total in migration: 1,055 2030 Total in migration: 1,063 2029 Total in migration: 1,095 2028 Total in migration: 1,093 2027 Total in migration: 1,145 2026 Total in migration: 1,173 2025 Total in migration: 1,190 2024 Total in migration: 1,288 2023 Total in migration: 1,361 2022 Total in migration: 1,492 2021 Total in migration: 1,534 2020 Total in migration: 1,654 2019 Total in migration: 1,805 2018 Total in migration: 1,767 2017 Total in migration: 1,301
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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