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City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast

City of Canterbury Bankstown

Births and deaths

In 2017, Lakemba is estimated to have the highest fertility rate of 2.83 (births per woman), this is expected to remain stable with a rate of 2.83 in 2036.

The number of births in City of Canterbury Bankstown are derived by multiplying age specific fertility rates of women aged 15-49 by the female population in these age groups for all years during the forecast period.

Birth rates are especially influential in determining the number of children in an area, with most inner urban areas having relatively low birth rates, compared to outer suburban or rural and regional areas. Birth rates have been changing, with a greater share of women bearing children at older ages or not at all, with overall increases in fertility rates. This can have a large impact on the future population profile.

Forecast fertility rates (births per woman)
City of Canterbury BankstownYearChange between 2017 and 2036
Area20172036Number
City of Canterbury Bankstown2.172.15-0.02
Ashbury2.152.11-0.05
Bankstown Balance2.092.07-0.02
Bankstown CBD2.131.97-0.16
Bass Hill - Lansdowne2.192.17-0.02
Belfield2.302.26-0.04
Belmore2.072.05-0.02
Birrong - Regents Park - Potts Hill2.322.31-0.01
Campsie - Clemton Park1.841.81-0.03
Canterbury1.851.82-0.03
Chester Hill2.252.23-0.01
Condell Park - Bankstown Aerodrome2.202.19-0.02
Croydon Park (part)1.621.62+0.01
Earlwood1.881.79-0.09
Georges Hall2.011.99-0.02
Greenacre - Mount Lewis - Chullora2.292.27-0.02
Hurlstone Park1.721.70-0.02
Kingsgrove1.761.80+0.04
Lakemba2.832.830
Milperra2.002.22+0.22
Narwee - Beverley Hills2.072.06-0.01
Padstow - Padstow Heights2.102.02-0.08
Panania - East Hills2.012.07+0.07
Picnic Point2.232.18-0.05
Punchbowl2.622.59-0.03
Revesby - Revesby Heights2.062.07+0.01
Riverwood2.552.50-0.05
Roselands2.282.23-0.05
Sefton2.202.17-0.02
Villawood1.721.74+0.02
Wiley Park2.752.72-0.03
Yagoona2.262.24-0.03
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2018.

Death rates

The forecast number of deaths in City of Canterbury Bankstown is a reflection of death rates assumed for small areas. For historical years, this will equal the number of deaths published by the ABS, where this information was available at the time of forecasting. These rates are based on historical estimates for City of Canterbury Bankstown, which have been extrapolated into the future, assuming an increase in expectation of life in all age groups (except 85 years and over).

Death rates are influential in shaping the numbers of older people in an area's population. Death rates too have been changing, with higher life expectancy at most ages, with men's life expectancy increasing more than that of women.

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