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City of CanningPopulation forecast

Queens Park - Welshpool

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Queens Park - Welshpool indicate a 18.6% increase in population under working age, a 45.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 22.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Queens Park - Welshpool is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Queens Park - Welshpool - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45818.66037.26817.1+100
5 to 94516.65576.66256.5+174
10 to 143655.44975.95505.7+185
15 to 193835.65286.35886.1+206
20 to 246489.67008.38148.4+166
25 to 2986512.788410.51,02510.6+160
30 to 3488213.087710.51,00410.4+122
35 to 395948.87178.58038.3+209
40 to 444116.15706.86246.5+213
45 to 494266.35216.25615.8+136
50 to 542954.44595.55195.4+223
55 to 592273.34104.94825.0+256
60 to 641672.53534.23984.1+231
65 to 691362.02292.73033.1+167
70 to 741041.51652.02512.6+147
75 to 791201.81361.62012.1+80
80 to 84661.01011.21251.3+59
85 and over651.0851.0991.0+34
Total persons6,785100.08,393100.09,654100.0+2,869
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Queens Park - Welshpool was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 13.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 60 to 64, which is expected to increase by 186 and account for 4.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 884 persons.

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