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City of CanningPopulation forecast

Canning Vale

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Canning Vale indicate a 16.8% decrease in males under working age, a 84.3% increase in males of retirement age, and a 10.3% decrease in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Canning is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Canning Vale - Total males202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42665.22605.02424.7-24
5 to 92835.52444.72374.6-46
10 to 143937.62805.32585.0-135
15 to 194047.83176.12605.0-144
20 to 244027.83456.62685.2-134
25 to 292825.53095.92775.4-5
30 to 342575.02595.02424.7-15
35 to 392875.63126.03256.3+38
40 to 443156.13626.93246.3+9
45 to 493576.93105.93005.8-57
50 to 543847.52605.02585.0-126
55 to 594138.02564.92374.6-176
60 to 643837.43967.63236.2-60
65 to 692655.14799.13246.3+59
70 to 742284.43556.83436.6+115
75 to 791282.52134.13065.9+178
80 to 84611.21502.92845.5+223
85 and over390.81322.53647.0+325
Total persons5,147100.05,239100.05,173100.0+26
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Canning Vale was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 8.0% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69, which is expected to increase by 214 and account for 9.1% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 479 males.

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